Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Atletico Madrid is likely to win this match with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Granada has a probability of 27.74%, while a draw has a probability of 20.69%. The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.85% and 1-3 with a probability of 6.36%. The most probable Granada win is 2-1 with a probability of 6.37%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.21%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Granada | Atletico Madrid | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.55 | 2.16 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 27.74% | 20.69% | 51.20% |
| Imp Odds | 3.61 | 4.83 | 1.95 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.45% | 40.76 |
| 1.5 | 11.55% | 8.66 |
| 2.5 | 28.41% | 3.52 |
| 3.5 | 49.25% | 2.03 |
| 4.5 | 68.57% | 1.46 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.55% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 88.45% | 1.13 |
| 2.5 | 71.59% | 1.40 |
| 3.5 | 50.75% | 1.97 |
| 4.5 | 31.43% | 3.18 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 40.76 | 2.45% |
| 0-1 | 18.91 | 5.29% |
| 0-2 | 17.54 | 5.70% |
| 0-3 | 24.41 | 4.10% |
| 1-0 | 26.26 | 3.81% |
| 1-1 | 12.18 | 8.21% |
| 1-2 | 11.30 | 8.85% |
| 1-3 | 15.73 | 6.36% |
| 2-0 | 33.85 | 2.95% |
| 2-1 | 15.70 | 6.37% |
| 2-2 | 14.57 | 6.87% |
| 2-3 | 20.27 | 4.93% |
| 3-0 | 65.43 | 1.53% |
| 3-1 | 30.35 | 3.29% |
| 3-2 | 28.16 | 3.55% |
| 3-3 | 39.18 | 2.55% |
| Any Other Home Win | 16.05 | 6.23% |
| Any Other Away Win | 7.89 | 12.67% |
| Any Other Draw | 163.36 | 0.61% |