Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Girona is likely to win this match with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Valencia has a probability of 23.39%, while a draw has a probability of 21.49%. The most likely scoreline for a Girona win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.69% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.76%. The most probable Valencia win is 1-2 with a probability of 6.01%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.62%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Girona | Valencia | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.01 | 1.25 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 55.07% | 21.49% | 23.39% |
| Imp Odds | 1.82 | 4.65 | 4.28 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.82% | 26.16 |
| 1.5 | 16.30% | 6.14 |
| 2.5 | 36.66% | 2.73 |
| 3.5 | 58.82% | 1.70 |
| 4.5 | 76.91% | 1.30 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.18% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 83.70% | 1.19 |
| 2.5 | 63.34% | 1.58 |
| 3.5 | 41.18% | 2.43 |
| 4.5 | 23.09% | 4.33 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 26.16 | 3.82% |
| 0-1 | 20.93 | 4.78% |
| 0-2 | 33.50 | 2.99% |
| 0-3 | 80.41 | 1.24% |
| 1-0 | 12.99 | 7.70% |
| 1-1 | 10.39 | 9.62% |
| 1-2 | 16.63 | 6.01% |
| 1-3 | 39.91 | 2.51% |
| 2-0 | 12.89 | 7.76% |
| 2-1 | 10.32 | 9.69% |
| 2-2 | 16.51 | 6.06% |
| 2-3 | 39.63 | 2.52% |
| 3-0 | 19.20 | 5.21% |
| 3-1 | 15.36 | 6.51% |
| 3-2 | 24.58 | 4.07% |
| 3-3 | 59.01 | 1.69% |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.07 | 14.14% |
| Any Other Away Win | 35.11 | 2.85% |
| Any Other Draw | 338.39 | 0.30% |