Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Barcelona is likely to win this match with a probability of 66.74%. A win for Las Palmas has a probability of 11.87%, while a draw has a probability of 20.88%. The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 0-1, with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 14.15% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The most probable Las Palmas win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.08%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.63%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Las Palmas | Barcelona | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
0.65 | 1.90 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 11.87% | 20.88% | 66.74% |
Imp Odds | 8.42 | 4.79 | 1.50 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 7.86% | 12.72 |
1.5 | 27.85% | 3.59 |
2.5 | 53.28% | 1.88 |
3.5 | 74.83% | 1.34 |
4.5 | 88.53% | 1.13 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 92.14% | 1.09 |
1.5 | 72.15% | 1.39 |
2.5 | 46.72% | 2.14 |
3.5 | 25.17% | 3.97 |
4.5 | 11.47% | 8.72 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 12.72 | 7.86% |
0-1 | 6.70 | 14.92% |
0-2 | 7.07 | 14.15% |
0-3 | 11.17 | 8.95% |
1-0 | 19.69 | 5.08% |
1-1 | 10.38 | 9.63% |
1-2 | 10.94 | 9.14% |
1-3 | 17.30 | 5.78% |
2-0 | 60.99 | 1.64% |
2-1 | 32.14 | 3.11% |
2-2 | 33.88 | 2.95% |
2-3 | 53.57 | 1.87% |
3-0 | 283.27 | 0.35% |
3-1 | 149.30 | 0.67% |
3-2 | 157.38 | 0.64% |
3-3 | 248.84 | 0.40% |
Any Other Home Win | 259.52 | 0.39% |
Any Other Away Win | 16.96 | 5.90% |
Any Other Draw | 3,092.20 | 0.03% |