Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Newcastle is likely to win this match with a probability of 85.08%. A win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 4.26%, while a draw has a probability of 10.34%. The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 33.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 13.4% and 3-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The most probable Nottingham Forest win is 0-1 with a probability of 1.68%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 4.91%.
This match offers an excellent opportunity to bet on Newcastle’s, with bookmakers offering average odds of 1.55, much higher than the 1.18 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based on XG
Goals Over/Under Based on XG