Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Rayo Vallecano is likely to win this match with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Osasuna has a probability of 25.07%, while a draw has a probability of 28.58%. The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 0-1, with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 9.62% and 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The most probable Osasuna win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.94%.
This match offers an excellent opportunity to bet on Rayo Vallecano’s win, with bookmakers offering average odds of 4, much higher than the 2.16 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based on XG
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Correct Score Based on XG
Full-time Result
Goals Over/Under
Correct Score