Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Brighton is likely to win this match with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Crystal Palace has a probability of 33.37%, while a draw has a probability of 26.84%. The most likely scoreline for a Brighton win is 0-1, with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.44% and 0-2 with a probability of 7.1%. The most probable Crystal Palace win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.75%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Crystal Palace | Brighton | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.19 | 1.32 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 33.37% | 26.84% | 39.72% |
Imp Odds | 3.00 | 3.73 | 2.52 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 8.10% | 12.35 |
1.5 | 28.45% | 3.51 |
2.5 | 54.03% | 1.85 |
3.5 | 75.47% | 1.33 |
4.5 | 88.94% | 1.12 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 91.90% | 1.09 |
1.5 | 71.55% | 1.40 |
2.5 | 45.97% | 2.18 |
3.5 | 24.53% | 4.08 |
4.5 | 11.06% | 9.04 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 12.35 | 8.10% |
0-1 | 9.33 | 10.72% |
0-2 | 14.09 | 7.10% |
0-3 | 31.91 | 3.13% |
1-0 | 10.38 | 9.63% |
1-1 | 7.84 | 12.75% |
1-2 | 11.84 | 8.44% |
1-3 | 26.83 | 3.73% |
2-0 | 17.46 | 5.73% |
2-1 | 13.18 | 7.58% |
2-2 | 19.91 | 5.02% |
2-3 | 45.11 | 2.22% |
3-0 | 44.04 | 2.27% |
3-1 | 33.25 | 3.01% |
3-2 | 50.23 | 1.99% |
3-3 | 113.78 | 0.88% |
Any Other Home Win | 31.62 | 3.16% |
Any Other Away Win | 32.80 | 3.05% |
Any Other Draw | 1,084.47 | 0.09% |