Brest vs Reims

Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Brest is likely to win this match with a probability of 59.12%. A win for Reims has a probability of 18.22%, while a draw has a probability of 22.64%. The most likely scoreline for a Brest win is 1-0, with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 11.15% and 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The most probable Reims win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.9%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.77%.

This match presents a compelling opportunity to bet on Brest to win. Bookmakers are offering average odds of 1.85, higher than our model’s predictions of 1.69 (based on goal statistics) and 1.8 (based on expected goals, or XG, which estimates the likelihood of scoring based on shot quality and location). This discrepancy suggests that bookmakers may be overvaluing the opponent, making Brest a potentially valuable bet.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.