Nice vs Le Havre

Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Nice is likely to win this match with a probability of 67.74%. A win for Le Havre has a probability of 11.92%, while a draw has a probability of 20.32%. The most likely scoreline for a Nice win is 1-0, with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 13.78% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 13.48%. The most probable Le Havre win is 0-1 with a probability of 4.85%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.49%.

This match presents a compelling opportunity to bet on Nice to win. Bookmakers are offering average odds of 1.55, higher than our model’s predictions of 1.48 (based on expected goals, or XG, which estimates the likelihood of scoring based on shot quality and location). This discrepancy suggests that bookmakers may be overvaluing the opponent, making Nice a potentially valuable bet.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.