Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that PSG is likely to win this match with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Lens has a probability of 22.29%, while a draw has a probability of 25.81%. The most likely scoreline for a PSG win is 0-1, with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 10.26% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The most probable Lens win is 1-0 with a probability of 7.94%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.13%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lens | Paris Saint Germain | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.90 | 1.53 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 22.29% | 25.81% | 51.74% |
| Imp Odds | 4.49 | 3.88 | 1.93 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.78% | 11.39 |
| 1.5 | 30.13% | 3.32 |
| 2.5 | 56.11% | 1.78 |
| 3.5 | 77.18% | 1.30 |
| 4.5 | 89.99% | 1.11 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.22% | 1.10 |
| 1.5 | 69.87% | 1.43 |
| 2.5 | 43.89% | 2.28 |
| 3.5 | 22.82% | 4.38 |
| 4.5 | 10.01% | 9.99 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 8.78% | 11.39 |
| 0-1 | 13.42% | 7.45 |
| 0-2 | 10.26% | 9.75 |
| 0-3 | 5.23% | 19.13 |
| 1-0 | 7.94% | 12.60 |
| 1-1 | 12.13% | 8.24 |
| 1-2 | 9.27% | 10.78 |
| 1-3 | 4.73% | 21.16 |
| 2-0 | 3.59% | 27.87 |
| 2-1 | 5.49% | 18.23 |
| 2-2 | 4.19% | 23.85 |
| 2-3 | 2.14% | 46.79 |
| 3-0 | 1.08% | 92.45 |
| 3-1 | 1.65% | 60.47 |
| 3-2 | 1.26% | 79.11 |
| 3-3 | 0.64% | 155.22 |
| Any Other Home Win | 1.28% | 77.83 |
| Any Other Away Win | 4.05% | 24.68 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.06% | 1,698.71 |