Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Lille is likely to win this match with a probability of 68.96%. A win for Lorient has a probability of 10.71%, while a draw has a probability of 20.31%. The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 1-0, with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 14.83% and 3-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The most probable Lorient win is 0-1 with a probability of 4.81%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.25%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.92 | 0.60 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 68.96% | 20.31% | 10.71% |
| Imp Odds | 1.45 | 4.92 | 9.34 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.02% | 12.47 |
| 1.5 | 28.25% | 3.54 |
| 2.5 | 53.78% | 1.86 |
| 3.5 | 75.25% | 1.33 |
| 4.5 | 88.80% | 1.13 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.98% | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | 71.75% | 1.39 |
| 2.5 | 46.22% | 2.16 |
| 3.5 | 24.75% | 4.04 |
| 4.5 | 11.20% | 8.93 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 12.47 | 8.02% |
| 0-1 | 20.78 | 4.81% |
| 0-2 | 69.26 | 1.44% |
| 0-3 | 346.17 | 0.29% |
| 1-0 | 6.49 | 15.42% |
| 1-1 | 10.81 | 9.25% |
| 1-2 | 36.01 | 2.78% |
| 1-3 | 179.98 | 0.56% |
| 2-0 | 6.74 | 14.83% |
| 2-1 | 11.24 | 8.90% |
| 2-2 | 37.44 | 2.67% |
| 2-3 | 187.14 | 0.53% |
| 3-0 | 10.52 | 9.51% |
| 3-1 | 17.52 | 5.71% |
| 3-2 | 58.39 | 1.71% |
| 3-3 | 291.89 | 0.34% |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.76 | 12.89% |
| Any Other Away Win | 404.87 | 0.25% |
| Any Other Draw | 3,861.34 | 0.03% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lille | Lorient | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.92 | 0.60 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 68.96% | 20.31% | 10.71% |
| Imp Odds | 1.45 | 4.92 | 9.34 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.02% | 12.47 |
| 1.5 | 28.25% | 3.54 |
| 2.5 | 53.78% | 1.86 |
| 3.5 | 75.25% | 1.33 |
| 4.5 | 88.80% | 1.13 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.98% | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | 71.75% | 1.39 |
| 2.5 | 46.22% | 2.16 |
| 3.5 | 24.75% | 4.04 |
| 4.5 | 11.20% | 8.93 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 12.47 | 8.02% |
| 0-1 | 20.78 | 4.81% |
| 0-2 | 69.26 | 1.44% |
| 0-3 | 346.17 | 0.29% |
| 1-0 | 6.49 | 15.42% |
| 1-1 | 10.81 | 9.25% |
| 1-2 | 36.01 | 2.78% |
| 1-3 | 179.98 | 0.56% |
| 2-0 | 6.74 | 14.83% |
| 2-1 | 11.24 | 8.90% |
| 2-2 | 37.44 | 2.67% |
| 2-3 | 187.14 | 0.53% |
| 3-0 | 10.52 | 9.51% |
| 3-1 | 17.52 | 5.71% |
| 3-2 | 58.39 | 1.71% |
| 3-3 | 291.89 | 0.34% |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.76 | 12.89% |
| Any Other Away Win | 404.87 | 0.25% |
| Any Other Draw | 3,861.34 | 0.03% |