Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Lille is likely to win this match with a probability of 66.75%. A win for Metz has a probability of 10.83%, while a draw has a probability of 22.41%. The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 1-0, with a probability of 18.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 15.6% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 9.77%. The most probable Metz win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.53%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 10.41%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Goals
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lille | Metz | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.73 | 0.53 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 66.75% | 22.41% | 10.83% |
| Imp Odds | 1.50 | 4.46 | 9.23 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 10.41% | 9.61 |
| 1.5 | 33.96% | 2.94 |
| 2.5 | 60.60% | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 80.69% | 1.24 |
| 4.5 | 92.06% | 1.09 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 89.59% | 1.12 |
| 1.5 | 66.04% | 1.51 |
| 2.5 | 39.40% | 2.54 |
| 3.5 | 19.31% | 5.18 |
| 4.5 | 7.94% | 12.59 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 10.41% | 9.61 |
| 0-1 | 5.53% | 18.10 |
| 0-2 | 1.47% | 68.17 |
| 0-3 | 0.26% | 385.16 |
| 1-0 | 18.02% | 5.55 |
| 1-1 | 9.57% | 10.45 |
| 1-2 | 2.54% | 39.36 |
| 1-3 | 0.45% | 222.42 |
| 2-0 | 15.60% | 6.41 |
| 2-1 | 8.29% | 12.07 |
| 2-2 | 2.20% | 45.47 |
| 2-3 | 0.39% | 256.89 |
| 3-0 | 9.01% | 11.10 |
| 3-1 | 4.78% | 20.91 |
| 3-2 | 1.27% | 78.77 |
| 3-3 | 0.22% | 445.06 |
| Any Other Home Win | 9.77% | 10.23 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.16% | 628.37 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.01% | 7,463.50 |