Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Monaco is likely to win this match with a probability of 67.58%. A win for Montpellier has a probability of 13.94%, while a draw has a probability of 18.41%. The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 19.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 10.51% and 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The most probable Montpellier win is 1-2 with a probability of 3.99%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.59%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Goals
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Monaco | Montpellier | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.27 | 0.93 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 67.58% | 18.41% | 13.94% |
| Imp Odds | 1.48 | 5.43 | 7.17 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.07% | 24.58 |
| 1.5 | 17.09% | 5.85 |
| 2.5 | 37.95% | 2.64 |
| 3.5 | 60.21% | 1.66 |
| 4.5 | 78.03% | 1.28 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.93% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 82.91% | 1.21 |
| 2.5 | 62.05% | 1.61 |
| 3.5 | 39.79% | 2.51 |
| 4.5 | 21.97% | 4.55 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 4.07% | 24.58 |
| 0-1 | 3.78% | 26.45 |
| 0-2 | 1.76% | 56.94 |
| 0-3 | 0.54% | 183.86 |
| 1-0 | 9.25% | 10.81 |
| 1-1 | 8.59% | 11.64 |
| 1-2 | 3.99% | 25.05 |
| 1-3 | 1.24% | 80.90 |
| 2-0 | 10.51% | 9.52 |
| 2-1 | 9.76% | 10.24 |
| 2-2 | 4.54% | 22.05 |
| 2-3 | 1.40% | 71.19 |
| 3-0 | 7.96% | 12.56 |
| 3-1 | 7.40% | 13.52 |
| 3-2 | 3.44% | 29.10 |
| 3-3 | 1.06% | 93.96 |
| Any Other Home Win | 19.27% | 5.19 |
| Any Other Away Win | 1.08% | 92.42 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.15% | 653.35 |