Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Nice is likely to win this match with a probability of **47.64%**. A win for Lyon has a probability of **23.27%**, while a draw has a probability of **29.02%**. The most likely scoreline for a Nice win is 0-1, with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 10.24% and 1-2 with a probability of 8.16%. The most probable Lyon win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.79%.

This match presents an excellent opportunity to consider **betting on Nice** **to win the match**, as bookmakers are offering average odds of 2.8 for **Nice** to win, which is higher than the 2.1 calculated by our model (based on goal statistics) and 1.95 based on XG.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

## Full-time Result Based On XG

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Lyon | Nice | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

1.17 | 1.77 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 25.16% | 23.39% | 51.22% |

Imp Odds | 3.97 | 4.28 | 1.95 |

## Goals Over/Under Based On XG

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 5.29% | 18.91 |

1.5 | 20.84% | 4.80 |

2.5 | 43.69% | 2.29 |

3.5 | 66.08% | 1.51 |

4.5 | 82.53% | 1.21 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 94.71% | 1.06 |

1.5 | 79.16% | 1.26 |

2.5 | 56.31% | 1.78 |

3.5 | 33.92% | 2.95 |

4.5 | 17.47% | 5.73 |

## Correct Score Based On XG

Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |

0-0 | 18.91 | 5.29% |

0-1 | 10.68 | 9.36% |

0-2 | 12.07 | 8.29% |

0-3 | 20.45 | 4.89% |

1-0 | 16.17 | 6.19% |

1-1 | 9.13 | 10.95% |

1-2 | 10.32 | 9.69% |

1-3 | 17.49 | 5.72% |

2-0 | 27.65 | 3.62% |

2-1 | 15.62 | 6.40% |

2-2 | 17.65 | 5.67% |

2-3 | 29.91 | 3.34% |

3-0 | 70.94 | 1.41% |

3-1 | 40.08 | 2.50% |

3-2 | 45.28 | 2.21% |

3-3 | 76.75 | 1.30% |

Any Other Home Win | 35.15 | 2.84% |

Any Other Away Win | 14.44 | 6.92% |

Any Other Draw | 545.37 | 0.18% |

## Full-time Result

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Lyon | Nice | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

0.80 | 1.28 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 23.27% | 29.02% | 47.64% |

Imp Odds | 4.30 | 3.45 | 2.10 |

## Goals Over/Under

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 12.58% | 7.95 |

1.5 | 38.65% | 2.59 |

2.5 | 65.68% | 1.52 |

3.5 | 84.37% | 1.19 |

4.5 | 94.05% | 1.06 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 87.42% | 1.14 |

1.5 | 61.35% | 1.63 |

2.5 | 34.32% | 2.91 |

3.5 | 15.63% | 6.40 |

4.5 | 5.95% | 16.80 |

## Correct Score

Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |

0-0 | 12.58% | 7.95 |

0-1 | 16.05% | 6.23 |

0-2 | 10.24% | 9.77 |

0-3 | 4.36% | 22.96 |

1-0 | 10.03% | 9.97 |

1-1 | 12.79% | 7.82 |

1-2 | 8.16% | 12.25 |

1-3 | 3.47% | 28.80 |

2-0 | 4.00% | 25.02 |

2-1 | 5.10% | 19.61 |

2-2 | 3.25% | 30.73 |

2-3 | 1.38% | 72.25 |

3-0 | 1.06% | 94.17 |

3-1 | 1.36% | 73.79 |

3-2 | 0.86% | 115.65 |

3-3 | 0.37% | 271.88 |

Any Other Home Win | 0.87% | 115.59 |

Any Other Away Wins | 2.21% | 45.26 |

Any Other Draw | 0.02% | 4,104.20 |