Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Brest is likely to win this match with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Metz has a probability of 25.48%, while a draw has a probability of 30.56%. The most likely scoreline for a Brest win is 0-1, with a probability of 16.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 9.41% and 1-2 with a probability of 7.57%. The most probable Metz win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 14.09%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
Goals
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Metz | Brest | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.80 | 1.16 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 25.48% | 30.56% | 43.92% |
| Imp Odds | 3.92 | 3.27 | 2.28 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 14.09% | 7.10 |
| 1.5 | 41.71% | 2.40 |
| 2.5 | 68.76% | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 86.43% | 1.16 |
| 4.5 | 95.09% | 1.05 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 85.91% | 1.16 |
| 1.5 | 58.29% | 1.72 |
| 2.5 | 31.24% | 3.20 |
| 3.5 | 13.57% | 7.37 |
| 4.5 | 4.91% | 20.37 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 7.10 | 14.09% |
| 0-1 | 6.14 | 16.29% |
| 0-2 | 10.62 | 9.41% |
| 0-3 | 27.57 | 3.63% |
| 1-0 | 8.83 | 11.33% |
| 1-1 | 7.64 | 13.09% |
| 1-2 | 13.22 | 7.57% |
| 1-3 | 34.31 | 2.91% |
| 2-0 | 21.97 | 4.55% |
| 2-1 | 19.01 | 5.26% |
| 2-2 | 32.89 | 3.04% |
| 2-3 | 85.37 | 1.17% |
| 3-0 | 82.01 | 1.22% |
| 3-1 | 70.95 | 1.41% |
| 3-2 | 122.77 | 0.81% |
| 3-3 | 318.64 | 0.31% |
| Any Other Home Win | 111.35 | 0.90% |
| Any Other Away Win | 61.05 | 1.64% |
| Any Other Draw | 5,286.39 | 0.02% |
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Metz | Brest | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.92 | 1.10 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 30.29% | 30.51% | 39.17% |
| Imp Odds | 3.30 | 3.28 | 2.55 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 13.26% | 7.54 |
| 1.5 | 40.06% | 2.50 |
| 2.5 | 67.12% | 1.49 |
| 3.5 | 85.35% | 1.17 |
| 4.5 | 94.55% | 1.06 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 86.74% | 1.15 |
| 1.5 | 59.94% | 1.67 |
| 2.5 | 32.88% | 3.04 |
| 3.5 | 14.65% | 6.82 |
| 4.5 | 5.45% | 18.35 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 13.26% | 7.54 |
| 0-1 | 14.53% | 6.88 |
| 0-2 | 7.96% | 12.56 |
| 0-3 | 2.91% | 34.40 |
| 1-0 | 12.26% | 8.15 |
| 1-1 | 13.44% | 7.44 |
| 1-2 | 7.36% | 13.59 |
| 1-3 | 2.69% | 37.21 |
| 2-0 | 5.67% | 17.64 |
| 2-1 | 6.21% | 16.10 |
| 2-2 | 3.40% | 29.39 |
| 2-3 | 1.24% | 80.49 |
| 3-0 | 1.75% | 57.24 |
| 3-1 | 1.91% | 52.25 |
| 3-2 | 1.05% | 95.38 |
| 3-3 | 0.38% | 261.18 |
| Any Other Home Win | 1.44% | 69.52 |
| Any Other Away Win | 1.50% | 66.56 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.03% | 3,960.64 |