Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Lyon is likely to win this match with a probability of 54.68%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 24.61%, while a draw has a probability of 20.65%. The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.29% and 3-1 with a probability of 6.67%. The most probable Toulouse win is 1-2 with a probability of 6.04%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.64%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lyon | Toulouse | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.15 | 1.40 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 54.68% | 20.65% | 24.61% |
| Imp Odds | 1.83 | 4.84 | 4.06 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.87% | 34.89 |
| 1.5 | 13.05% | 7.66 |
| 2.5 | 31.13% | 3.21 |
| 3.5 | 52.54% | 1.90 |
| 4.5 | 71.55% | 1.40 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.13% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 86.95% | 1.15 |
| 2.5 | 68.87% | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 47.46% | 2.11 |
| 4.5 | 28.45% | 3.52 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 34.89 | 2.87% |
| 0-1 | 24.93 | 4.01% |
| 0-2 | 35.62 | 2.81% |
| 0-3 | 76.35 | 1.31% |
| 1-0 | 16.21 | 6.17% |
| 1-1 | 11.58 | 8.64% |
| 1-2 | 16.55 | 6.04% |
| 1-3 | 35.47 | 2.82% |
| 2-0 | 15.06 | 6.64% |
| 2-1 | 10.76 | 9.29% |
| 2-2 | 15.37 | 6.50% |
| 2-3 | 32.95 | 3.03% |
| 3-0 | 20.99 | 4.76% |
| 3-1 | 15.00 | 6.67% |
| 3-2 | 21.43 | 4.67% |
| 3-3 | 45.93 | 2.18% |
| Any Other Home Win | 6.07 | 16.47% |
| Any Other Away Win | 25.08 | 3.99% |
| Any Other Draw | 215.60 | 0.46% |