Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Montpellier is likely to win this match with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Metz has a probability of 29.07%, while a draw has a probability of 26.74%. The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier win is 0-1, with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.85% and 0-2 with a probability of 8.2%. The most probable Metz win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.68%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Metz | Montpellier | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.08 | 1.40 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 29.07% | 26.74% | 44.10% |
Imp Odds | 3.44 | 3.74 | 2.27 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 8.41% | 11.89 |
1.5 | 29.24% | 3.42 |
2.5 | 55.02% | 1.82 |
3.5 | 76.28% | 1.31 |
4.5 | 89.45% | 1.12 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 91.59% | 1.09 |
1.5 | 70.76% | 1.41 |
2.5 | 44.98% | 2.22 |
3.5 | 23.72% | 4.22 |
4.5 | 10.55% | 9.47 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 8.41% | 11.89 |
0-1 | 11.75% | 8.51 |
0-2 | 8.20% | 12.19 |
0-3 | 3.82% | 26.20 |
1-0 | 9.08% | 11.01 |
1-1 | 12.68% | 7.89 |
1-2 | 8.85% | 11.30 |
1-3 | 4.12% | 24.28 |
2-0 | 4.90% | 20.42 |
2-1 | 6.84% | 14.62 |
2-2 | 4.77% | 20.94 |
2-3 | 2.22% | 45.00 |
3-0 | 1.76% | 56.76 |
3-1 | 2.46% | 40.65 |
3-2 | 1.72% | 58.23 |
3-3 | 0.80% | 125.11 |
Any Other Home Win | 2.31% | 43.23 |
Any Other Away Win | 3.42% | 29.27 |
Any Other Draw | 0.08% | 1,250.10 |
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Metz | Montpellier | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
0.64 | 1.03 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 22.53% | 33.51% | 43.93% |
Imp Odds | 4.44 | 2.98 | 2.28 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 18.89% | 5.29 |
1.5 | 50.37% | 1.99 |
2.5 | 76.60% | 1.31 |
3.5 | 91.17% | 1.10 |
4.5 | 97.25% | 1.03 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 81.11% | 1.23 |
1.5 | 49.63% | 2.01 |
2.5 | 23.40% | 4.27 |
3.5 | 8.83% | 11.33 |
4.5 | 2.75% | 36.31 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 5.29 | 18.89% |
0-1 | 5.16 | 19.36% |
0-2 | 10.08 | 9.92% |
0-3 | 29.49 | 3.39% |
1-0 | 8.25 | 12.12% |
1-1 | 8.05 | 12.42% |
1-2 | 15.71 | 6.37% |
1-3 | 45.97 | 2.18% |
2-0 | 25.72 | 3.89% |
2-1 | 25.10 | 3.98% |
2-2 | 48.97 | 2.04% |
2-3 | 143.32 | 0.70% |
3-0 | 120.29 | 0.83% |
3-1 | 117.35 | 0.85% |
3-2 | 228.97 | 0.44% |
3-3 | 670.15 | 0.15% |
Any Other Home Win | 239.75 | 0.42% |
Any Other Away Win | 103.48 | 0.97% |
Any Other Draw | 15,879.45 | 0.01% |