Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Marseille is likely to win this match with a probability of 69.8%. A win for Clermont has a probability of 8.98%, while a draw has a probability of 21.22%. The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 1-0, with a probability of 18.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 16.77% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 10.7%. The most probable Clermont win is 0-1 with a probability of 4.89%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 10.46%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Marseille | Clermont Foot | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.79 | 0.47 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 69.80% | 21.22% | 8.98% |
Imp Odds | 1.43 | 4.71 | 11.14 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 10.46% | 9.56 |
1.5 | 34.07% | 2.94 |
2.5 | 60.72% | 1.65 |
3.5 | 80.78% | 1.24 |
4.5 | 92.11% | 1.09 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 89.54% | 1.12 |
1.5 | 65.93% | 1.52 |
2.5 | 39.28% | 2.55 |
3.5 | 19.22% | 5.20 |
4.5 | 7.89% | 12.67 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 9.56 | 10.46% |
0-1 | 20.47 | 4.89% |
0-2 | 87.61 | 1.14% |
0-3 | 562.54 | 0.18% |
1-0 | 5.34 | 18.72% |
1-1 | 11.43 | 8.75% |
1-2 | 48.93 | 2.04% |
1-3 | 314.15 | 0.32% |
2-0 | 5.96 | 16.77% |
2-1 | 12.77 | 7.83% |
2-2 | 54.65 | 1.83% |
2-3 | 350.87 | 0.29% |
3-0 | 9.99 | 10.01% |
3-1 | 21.39 | 4.68% |
3-2 | 91.55 | 1.09% |
3-3 | 587.83 | 0.17% |
Any Other Home Win | 9.35 | 10.70% |
Any Other Away Win | 995.85 | 0.10% |
Any Other Draw | 10,869.14 | 0.01% |