Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Lille will likely win this match with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Montpellier has a probability of 23.98%, while a draw has a probability of 30.39%. The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 0-1, with a probability of 16.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 9.93% and 1-2 with a probability of 7.36%. The most probable Montpellier win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 14.22%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Montpellier | Lille | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
0.77 | 1.18 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 23.98% | 30.39% | 45.58% |
Imp Odds | 4.17 | 3.29 | 2.19 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 14.22% | 7.03 |
1.5 | 41.96% | 2.38 |
2.5 | 69.01% | 1.45 |
3.5 | 86.60% | 1.15 |
4.5 | 95.17% | 1.05 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 85.78% | 1.17 |
1.5 | 58.04% | 1.72 |
2.5 | 30.99% | 3.23 |
3.5 | 13.40% | 7.46 |
4.5 | 4.83% | 20.71 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 14.22% | 7.03 |
0-1 | 16.80% | 5.95 |
0-2 | 9.93% | 10.07 |
0-3 | 3.91% | 25.58 |
1-0 | 10.93% | 9.14 |
1-1 | 12.92% | 7.74 |
1-2 | 7.63% | 13.10 |
1-3 | 3.01% | 33.27 |
2-0 | 4.20% | 23.79 |
2-1 | 4.97% | 20.13 |
2-2 | 2.93% | 34.08 |
2-3 | 1.16% | 86.53 |
3-0 | 1.08% | 92.81 |
3-1 | 1.27% | 78.55 |
3-2 | 0.75% | 132.97 |
3-3 | 0.30% | 337.62 |
Any Other Home Win | 0.77% | 129.66 |
Any Other Away Win | 1.71% | 58.61 |
Any Other Draw | 0.02% | 5,732.57 |