Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Marseille will likely win this match with a probability of 51.89%. A win for Monaco has a probability of 24.49%, while a draw has a probability of 23.59%. The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 1-0, with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 9.83% and 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The most probable Monaco win is 0-1 with a probability of 6.36%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 11.12%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Marseille | Monaco | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.75 | 1.13 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 51.89% | 23.59% | 24.49% |
| Imp Odds | 1.93 | 4.24 | 4.08 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.65% | 17.71 |
| 1.5 | 21.87% | 4.57 |
| 2.5 | 45.19% | 2.21 |
| 3.5 | 67.54% | 1.48 |
| 4.5 | 83.59% | 1.20 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.35% | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | 78.13% | 1.28 |
| 2.5 | 54.81% | 1.82 |
| 3.5 | 32.46% | 3.08 |
| 4.5 | 16.41% | 6.09 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 17.71 | 5.65% |
| 0-1 | 15.72 | 6.36% |
| 0-2 | 27.90 | 3.58% |
| 0-3 | 74.26 | 1.35% |
| 1-0 | 10.14 | 9.86% |
| 1-1 | 9.00 | 11.12% |
| 1-2 | 15.96 | 6.26% |
| 1-3 | 42.50 | 2.35% |
| 2-0 | 11.60 | 8.62% |
| 2-1 | 10.30 | 9.71% |
| 2-2 | 18.27 | 5.47% |
| 2-3 | 48.64 | 2.06% |
| 3-0 | 19.92 | 5.02% |
| 3-1 | 17.68 | 5.66% |
| 3-2 | 31.37 | 3.19% |
| 3-3 | 83.51 | 1.20% |
| Any Other Home Win | 10.17 | 9.83% |
| Any Other Away Win | 48.59 | 2.06% |
| Any Other Draw | 626.35 | 0.16% |