Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Montpellier is likely to win this match with a probability of **42.87%**. A win for Lyon has a probability of **22.68%**, while a draw has a probability of **34.44%**. The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier win is 1-0, with a probability of 19.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 9.65% and 2-1 with a probability of 6.02%. The most probable Lyon win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 20.15%.

This match presents an excellent opportunity to consider betting on Montpellier not to lose, as bookmakers are offering average odds of 2.8 for it’s win, which is higher than the 2.33 calculated by our model.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

## Full-time Result

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Montpellier | Lyon | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

0.98 | 0.62 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 42.87% | 34.44% | 22.68% |

Imp Odds | 2.33 | 2.90 | 4.41 |

## Goals Over/Under

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 20.15% | 4.96 |

1.5 | 52.42% | 1.91 |

2.5 | 78.28% | 1.28 |

3.5 | 92.09% | 1.09 |

4.5 | 97.62% | 1.02 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 79.85% | 1.25 |

1.5 | 47.58% | 2.10 |

2.5 | 21.72% | 4.60 |

3.5 | 7.91% | 12.64 |

4.5 | 2.38% | 42.01 |

## Correct Score

Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |

0-0 | 20.15% | 4.96 |

0-1 | 12.56% | 7.96 |

0-2 | 3.91% | 25.55 |

0-3 | 0.81% | 122.94 |

1-0 | 19.72% | 5.07 |

1-1 | 12.29% | 8.14 |

1-2 | 3.83% | 26.10 |

1-3 | 0.80% | 125.60 |

2-0 | 9.65% | 10.36 |

2-1 | 6.02% | 16.62 |

2-2 | 1.88% | 53.33 |

2-3 | 0.39% | 256.64 |

3-0 | 3.15% | 31.76 |

3-1 | 1.96% | 50.95 |

3-2 | 0.61% | 163.45 |

3-3 | 0.13% | 786.59 |

Any Other Home Win | 1.77% | 56.63 |

Any Other Away Wins | 0.23% | 427.85 |

Any Other Draw | 0.00% | 20,125.85 |

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