Nice vs Montpellier

Nice vs Montpellier

Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Nice is likely to win this match with a probability of 64.19%. A win for Montpellier has a probability of 14.75%, while a draw has a probability of 21.04%. The most likely scoreline for a Nice win is “Any Other Home Win”, with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 with a probability of 12.38% and 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The most probable Montpellier win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.13%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.99%.

This match presents a compelling opportunity to bet on Nice to win the match. Bookmakers are offering average odds of 1.75, higher than our model’s predictions of 1.59 (based on goal statistics) and 1.56 (based on expected goals, or XG, which estimates the likelihood of scoring based on shot quality and location). This discrepancy suggests that bookmakers may be overvaluing the opponent, making Nice a potentially valuable bet.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

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