Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Aston Villa is likely to win this match with a probability of 88.43%. A win for Sheffield United has a probability of 2.64%, while a draw has a probability of 8.54%. The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 35.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 with a probability of 15.17% and 2-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The most probable Sheffield United win is 0-1 with a probability of 1.3%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 3.91%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Aston Villa | Sheffield United | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
3.01 | 0.39 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 88.43% | 8.54% | 2.64% |
Imp Odds | 1.13 | 11.71 | 37.91 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 3.32% | 30.11 |
1.5 | 14.63% | 6.84 |
2.5 | 33.88% | 2.95 |
3.5 | 55.73% | 1.79 |
4.5 | 74.33% | 1.35 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 96.68% | 1.03 |
1.5 | 85.37% | 1.17 |
2.5 | 66.12% | 1.51 |
3.5 | 44.27% | 2.26 |
4.5 | 25.67% | 3.90 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 30.11 | 3.32% |
0-1 | 77.19 | 1.30% |
0-2 | 395.75 | 0.25% |
0-3 | 3,043.42 | 0.03% |
1-0 | 9.99 | 10.01% |
1-1 | 25.60 | 3.91% |
1-2 | 131.27 | 0.76% |
1-3 | 1,009.49 | 0.10% |
2-0 | 6.63 | 15.09% |
2-1 | 16.99 | 5.89% |
2-2 | 87.08 | 1.15% |
2-3 | 669.68 | 0.15% |
3-0 | 6.59 | 15.17% |
3-1 | 16.90 | 5.92% |
3-2 | 86.65 | 1.15% |
3-3 | 666.39 | 0.15% |
Any Other Home Win | 2.84 | 35.20% |
Any Other Away Win | 2,322.59 | 0.04% |
Any Other Draw | 8,645.57 | 0.01% |