Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Aston Villa is likely to win this match with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Bournemouth has a probability of 29.28%, while a draw has a probability of 29.63%. The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 0-1, with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 8.31% and 1-2 with a probability of 7.89%. The most probable Bournemouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 13.33%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Goals
Tab #2
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Bournemouth | Aston Villa | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.94 | 1.17 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 29.28% | 29.63% | 41.05% |
| Imp Odds | 3.42 | 3.38 | 2.44 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 12.16% | 8.22 |
| 1.5 | 37.78% | 2.65 |
| 2.5 | 64.77% | 1.54 |
| 3.5 | 83.73% | 1.19 |
| 4.5 | 93.72% | 1.07 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 87.84% | 1.14 |
| 1.5 | 62.22% | 1.61 |
| 2.5 | 35.23% | 2.84 |
| 3.5 | 16.27% | 6.15 |
| 4.5 | 6.28% | 15.91 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 12.16% | 8.22 |
| 0-1 | 14.22% | 7.03 |
| 0-2 | 8.31% | 12.03 |
| 0-3 | 3.24% | 30.88 |
| 1-0 | 11.40% | 8.77 |
| 1-1 | 13.33% | 7.50 |
| 1-2 | 7.79% | 12.83 |
| 1-3 | 3.04% | 32.92 |
| 2-0 | 5.35% | 18.70 |
| 2-1 | 6.25% | 15.99 |
| 2-2 | 3.66% | 27.36 |
| 2-3 | 1.42% | 70.19 |
| 3-0 | 1.67% | 59.80 |
| 3-1 | 1.96% | 51.15 |
| 3-2 | 1.14% | 87.50 |
| 3-3 | 0.45% | 224.51 |
| Any Other Home Win | 1.50% | 66.64 |
| Any Other Away Win | 1.86% | 53.85 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.03% | 3,133.99 |
Tab #2
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