Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Brentford is likely to win this match with a probability of 64.44%. A win for Luton has a probability of 15.88%, while a draw has a probability of 19.64%. The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 10.21% and 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The most probable Luton win is 1-2 with a probability of 4.45%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.18%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Goals
XG
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Brentford | Luton | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.16 | 0.97 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 64.44% | 19.64% | 15.88% |
| Imp Odds | 1.55 | 5.09 | 6.30 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.39% | 22.77 |
| 1.5 | 18.12% | 5.52 |
| 2.5 | 39.57% | 2.53 |
| 3.5 | 61.91% | 1.62 |
| 4.5 | 79.37% | 1.26 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.61% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 81.88% | 1.22 |
| 2.5 | 60.43% | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 38.09% | 2.63 |
| 4.5 | 20.63% | 4.85 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 4.39% | 22.77 |
| 0-1 | 4.26% | 23.49 |
| 0-2 | 2.06% | 48.45 |
| 0-3 | 0.67% | 149.93 |
| 1-0 | 9.47% | 10.56 |
| 1-1 | 9.18% | 10.89 |
| 1-2 | 4.45% | 22.47 |
| 1-3 | 1.44% | 69.54 |
| 2-0 | 10.21% | 9.80 |
| 2-1 | 9.90% | 10.11 |
| 2-2 | 4.80% | 20.85 |
| 2-3 | 1.55% | 64.51 |
| 3-0 | 7.34% | 13.63 |
| 3-1 | 7.11% | 14.06 |
| 3-2 | 3.45% | 29.01 |
| 3-3 | 1.11% | 89.76 |
| Any Other Home Win | 16.97% | 5.89 |
| Any Other Away Win | 1.26% | 79.43 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.16% | 631.08 |
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Brentford | Luton | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.26 | 0.75 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 48.52% | 29.41% | 22.07% |
| Imp Odds | 2.06 | 3.40 | 4.53 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 13.45% | 7.43 |
| 1.5 | 40.44% | 2.47 |
| 2.5 | 67.51% | 1.48 |
| 3.5 | 85.61% | 1.17 |
| 4.5 | 94.68% | 1.06 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 86.55% | 1.16 |
| 1.5 | 59.56% | 1.68 |
| 2.5 | 32.49% | 3.08 |
| 3.5 | 14.39% | 6.95 |
| 4.5 | 5.32% | 18.80 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 7.43 | 13.45% |
| 0-1 | 9.95 | 10.05% |
| 0-2 | 26.65 | 3.75% |
| 0-3 | 107.05 | 0.93% |
| 1-0 | 5.90 | 16.94% |
| 1-1 | 7.90 | 12.65% |
| 1-2 | 21.17 | 4.72% |
| 1-3 | 85.03 | 1.18% |
| 2-0 | 9.38 | 10.66% |
| 2-1 | 12.56 | 7.96% |
| 2-2 | 33.63 | 2.97% |
| 2-3 | 135.07 | 0.74% |
| 3-0 | 22.35 | 4.48% |
| 3-1 | 29.92 | 3.34% |
| 3-2 | 80.12 | 1.25% |
| 3-3 | 321.85 | 0.31% |
| Any Other Home Win | 25.72 | 3.89% |
| Any Other Away Win | 204.17 | 0.49% |
| Any Other Draw | 5,272.98 | 0.02% |