Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Arsenal is likely to win this match with a probability of 72.36%. A win for West Ham has a probability of 11.58%, while a draw has a probability of 15.91%. The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 25.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 9.81% and 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The most probable West Ham win is 1-2 with a probability of 3.4%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.19%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Arsenal | West Ham | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
2.58 | 0.94 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 72.36% | 15.91% | 11.58% |
Imp Odds | 1.38 | 6.29 | 8.63 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 2.95% | 33.86 |
1.5 | 13.36% | 7.49 |
2.5 | 31.68% | 3.16 |
3.5 | 53.19% | 1.88 |
4.5 | 72.12% | 1.39 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 97.05% | 1.03 |
1.5 | 86.64% | 1.15 |
2.5 | 68.32% | 1.46 |
3.5 | 46.81% | 2.14 |
4.5 | 27.88% | 3.59 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 33.86 | 2.95% |
0-1 | 35.83 | 2.79% |
0-2 | 75.84 | 1.32% |
0-3 | 240.78 | 0.42% |
1-0 | 13.14 | 7.61% |
1-1 | 13.90 | 7.19% |
1-2 | 29.43 | 3.40% |
1-3 | 93.43 | 1.07% |
2-0 | 10.19 | 9.81% |
2-1 | 10.79 | 9.27% |
2-2 | 22.84 | 4.38% |
2-3 | 72.50 | 1.38% |
3-0 | 11.87 | 8.43% |
3-1 | 12.56 | 7.96% |
3-2 | 26.58 | 3.76% |
3-3 | 84.39 | 1.18% |
Any Other Home Win | 3.92 | 25.52% |
Any Other Away Win | 91.41 | 1.09% |
Any Other Draw | 502.06 | 0.20% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Arsenal | West Ham | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
3.18 | 1.03 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 78.62% | 12.12% | 8.70% |
Imp Odds | 1.27 | 8.25 | 11.49 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 1.47% | 67.93 |
1.5 | 7.68% | 13.02 |
2.5 | 20.78% | 4.81 |
3.5 | 39.20% | 2.55 |
4.5 | 58.62% | 1.71 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 98.53% | 1.01 |
1.5 | 92.32% | 1.08 |
2.5 | 79.22% | 1.26 |
3.5 | 60.80% | 1.64 |
4.5 | 41.38% | 2.42 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 1.47% | 67.93 |
0-1 | 1.52% | 65.64 |
0-2 | 0.79% | 126.86 |
0-3 | 0.27% | 367.76 |
1-0 | 4.69% | 21.34 |
1-1 | 4.85% | 20.62 |
1-2 | 2.51% | 39.85 |
1-3 | 0.87% | 115.52 |
2-0 | 7.46% | 13.40 |
2-1 | 7.72% | 12.95 |
2-2 | 3.99% | 25.03 |
2-3 | 1.38% | 72.57 |
3-0 | 7.92% | 12.63 |
3-1 | 8.19% | 12.21 |
3-2 | 4.24% | 23.59 |
3-3 | 1.46% | 68.38 |
Any Other Home Win | 38.40% | 2.60 |
Any Other Away Win | 1.28% | 78.08 |
Any Other Draw | 0.34% | 290.10 |