Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win, with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Everton has a chance of 13.25% and a draw probability of 32.02%. The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 0-1 with a probability of 24.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 13.89% and 1-2 with a probability of 5.76%. The most probable Everton win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 20.79%.
This match is interesting for betting on the away team (Bournemouth), as the average odds for a win offered by bookmakers are higher than what our model calculates, with odds at 1.83 compared to around 3.88.
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Everton vs Bournemouth Betting Tips By XG and Performance
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Everton | Bournemouth | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.41 | 1.16 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 13.25% | 32.02% | 54.66% |
| Imp Odds | 7.55 | 3.12 | 1.83 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 20.79% | 4.81 |
| 1.5 | 53.45% | 1.87 |
| 2.5 | 79.09% | 1.26 |
| 3.5 | 92.52% | 1.08 |
| 4.5 | 97.79% | 1.02 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 79.21% | 1.26 |
| 1.5 | 46.55% | 2.15 |
| 2.5 | 20.91% | 4.78 |
| 3.5 | 7.48% | 13.37 |
| 4.5 | 2.21% | 45.26 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 20.79% | 4.81 |
| 0-1 | 24.04% | 4.16 |
| 0-2 | 13.89% | 7.20 |
| 0-3 | 5.35% | 18.68 |
| 1-0 | 8.62% | 11.60 |
| 1-1 | 9.96% | 10.04 |
| 1-2 | 5.76% | 17.36 |
| 1-3 | 2.22% | 45.06 |
| 2-0 | 1.79% | 55.98 |
| 2-1 | 2.07% | 48.43 |
| 2-2 | 1.19% | 83.78 |
| 2-3 | 0.46% | 217.40 |
| 3-0 | 0.25% | 405.18 |
| 3-1 | 0.29% | 350.48 |
| 3-2 | 0.16% | 606.33 |
| 3-3 | 0.06% | 1,573.42 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.09% | 1,162.71 |
| Any Other Away Win | 1.02% | 98.17 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.00% | 51,533.97 |