Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brentford win, with a probability of 56.7%. A win for Manchester United has a chance of 19.46% and a draw probability of 23.57%. The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 10.73% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The most probable Manchester United win is 1-0 with a probability of 6.45%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 11.2%.
This match is interesting for betting on the away team (Brentford), as the average odds for a win offered by bookmakers are higher than what our model calculates, with odds at 1.76 compared to around 5.
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Manchester United vs Brentford Betting Tips By XG and Performance
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Manchester United | Brentford | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.91 | 1.74 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 19.46% | 23.57% | 56.70% |
| Imp Odds | 5.14 | 4.24 | 1.76 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 7.11% | 14.06 |
| 1.5 | 25.91% | 3.86 |
| 2.5 | 50.76% | 1.97 |
| 3.5 | 72.65% | 1.38 |
| 4.5 | 87.12% | 1.15 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 92.89% | 1.08 |
| 1.5 | 74.09% | 1.35 |
| 2.5 | 49.24% | 2.03 |
| 3.5 | 27.35% | 3.66 |
| 4.5 | 12.88% | 7.76 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 14.06 | 7.11% |
| 0-1 | 8.10 | 12.35% |
| 0-2 | 9.32 | 10.73% |
| 0-3 | 16.11 | 6.21% |
| 1-0 | 15.51 | 6.45% |
| 1-1 | 8.93 | 11.20% |
| 1-2 | 10.28 | 9.72% |
| 1-3 | 17.76 | 5.63% |
| 2-0 | 34.21 | 2.92% |
| 2-1 | 19.70 | 5.08% |
| 2-2 | 22.68 | 4.41% |
| 2-3 | 39.18 | 2.55% |
| 3-0 | 113.19 | 0.88% |
| 3-1 | 65.17 | 1.53% |
| 3-2 | 75.06 | 1.33% |
| 3-3 | 129.65 | 0.77% |
| Any Other Home Win | 79.37 | 1.26% |
| Any Other Away Win | 17.29 | 5.78% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,236.02 | 0.08% |
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Manchester United | Brentford | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.52 | 1.39 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 13.82% | 27.65% | 58.38% |
| Imp Odds | 7.24 | 3.62 | 1.71 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 14.88% | 6.72 |
| 1.5 | 43.22% | 2.31 |
| 2.5 | 70.23% | 1.42 |
| 3.5 | 87.38% | 1.14 |
| 4.5 | 95.55% | 1.05 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 85.12% | 1.17 |
| 1.5 | 56.78% | 1.76 |
| 2.5 | 29.77% | 3.36 |
| 3.5 | 12.62% | 7.92 |
| 4.5 | 4.45% | 22.46 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 14.88% | 6.72 |
| 0-1 | 20.64% | 4.85 |
| 0-2 | 14.31% | 6.99 |
| 0-3 | 6.62% | 15.11 |
| 1-0 | 7.71% | 12.97 |
| 1-1 | 10.69% | 9.35 |
| 1-2 | 7.42% | 13.48 |
| 1-3 | 3.43% | 29.16 |
| 2-0 | 2.00% | 50.08 |
| 2-1 | 2.77% | 36.10 |
| 2-2 | 1.92% | 52.04 |
| 2-3 | 0.89% | 112.54 |
| 3-0 | 0.34% | 289.96 |
| 3-1 | 0.48% | 209.01 |
| 3-2 | 0.33% | 301.33 |
| 3-3 | 0.15% | 651.62 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.19% | 527.66 |
| Any Other Away Win | 2.11% | 47.47 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.01% | 14,091.17 |