Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Liverpool is likely to win this match with a probability of 67.72%. A win for Newcastle has a probability of 15.07%, while a draw has a probability of 17.07%. The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 24.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.24% and 3-0 with a probability of 6.88%. The most probable Newcastle win is 1-2 with a probability of 4.14%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.24%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Liverpool | Newcastle United | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.55 | 1.14 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 67.72% | 17.07% | 15.07% |
| Imp Odds | 1.48 | 5.86 | 6.64 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.48% | 40.40 |
| 1.5 | 11.63% | 8.60 |
| 2.5 | 28.56% | 3.50 |
| 3.5 | 49.44% | 2.02 |
| 4.5 | 68.74% | 1.45 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.52% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 88.37% | 1.13 |
| 2.5 | 71.44% | 1.40 |
| 3.5 | 50.56% | 1.98 |
| 4.5 | 31.26% | 3.20 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 40.40 | 2.48% |
| 0-1 | 35.31 | 2.83% |
| 0-2 | 61.71 | 1.62% |
| 0-3 | 161.78 | 0.62% |
| 1-0 | 15.82 | 6.32% |
| 1-1 | 13.82 | 7.24% |
| 1-2 | 24.16 | 4.14% |
| 1-3 | 63.33 | 1.58% |
| 2-0 | 12.38 | 8.08% |
| 2-1 | 10.82 | 9.24% |
| 2-2 | 18.91 | 5.29% |
| 2-3 | 49.58 | 2.02% |
| 3-0 | 14.54 | 6.88% |
| 3-1 | 12.71 | 7.87% |
| 3-2 | 22.21 | 4.50% |
| 3-3 | 58.23 | 1.72% |
| Any Other Home Win | 4.03 | 24.83% |
| Any Other Away Win | 48.93 | 2.04% |
| Any Other Draw | 282.77 | 0.35% |