Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that West Ham is likely to win this match with a probability of 57.18%. A win for Brighton has a probability of 23.12%, while a draw has a probability of 19.6%. The most likely scoreline for a West Ham win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 19.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.03% and 3-1 with a probability of 6.98%. The most probable Brighton win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.6%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.79%.
This match offers an excellent opportunity to bet on West Ham’s win, with bookmakers offering average odds of 2.4, much higher than the 1.75 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| West Ham | Brighton | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.32 | 1.44 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 57.18% | 19.60% | 23.12% |
| Imp Odds | 1.75 | 5.10 | 4.32 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.34% | 42.74 |
| 1.5 | 11.13% | 8.99 |
| 2.5 | 27.62% | 3.62 |
| 3.5 | 48.27% | 2.07 |
| 4.5 | 67.65% | 1.48 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.66% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 88.87% | 1.13 |
| 2.5 | 72.38% | 1.38 |
| 3.5 | 51.73% | 1.93 |
| 4.5 | 32.35% | 3.09 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 2.34% | 42.74 |
| 0-1 | 3.36% | 29.74 |
| 0-2 | 2.42% | 41.39 |
| 0-3 | 1.16% | 86.40 |
| 1-0 | 5.42% | 18.44 |
| 1-1 | 7.79% | 12.83 |
| 1-2 | 5.60% | 17.85 |
| 1-3 | 2.68% | 37.27 |
| 2-0 | 6.29% | 15.91 |
| 2-1 | 9.03% | 11.07 |
| 2-2 | 6.49% | 15.41 |
| 2-3 | 3.11% | 32.16 |
| 3-0 | 4.86% | 20.59 |
| 3-1 | 6.98% | 14.33 |
| 3-2 | 5.02% | 19.94 |
| 3-3 | 2.40% | 41.62 |
| Any Other Home Win | 19.58% | 5.11 |
| Any Other Away Win | 4.25% | 23.53 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.57% | 174.35 |