Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Manchester City is likely to win this match with a probability of 72.57%. A win for Crystal Palace has a probability of 10.14%, while a draw has a probability of 17.23%. The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 19.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 13.01% and 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The most probable Crystal Palace win is 0-2 with a probability of 3.6%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.19%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Manchester City | Crystal Palace | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.27 | 0.72 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 72.57% | 17.23% | 10.14% |
| Imp Odds | 1.38 | 5.80 | 9.86 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.04% | 19.85 |
| 1.5 | 20.09% | 4.98 |
| 2.5 | 42.58% | 2.35 |
| 3.5 | 64.98% | 1.54 |
| 4.5 | 81.72% | 1.22 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.96% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 79.91% | 1.25 |
| 2.5 | 57.42% | 1.74 |
| 3.5 | 35.02% | 2.86 |
| 4.5 | 18.28% | 5.47 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 5.04% | 19.85 |
| 0-1 | 3.60% | 27.74 |
| 0-2 | 1.29% | 77.52 |
| 0-3 | 0.31% | 324.94 |
| 1-0 | 11.45% | 8.74 |
| 1-1 | 8.19% | 12.21 |
| 1-2 | 2.93% | 34.11 |
| 1-3 | 0.70% | 142.98 |
| 2-0 | 13.01% | 7.69 |
| 2-1 | 9.31% | 10.74 |
| 2-2 | 3.33% | 30.02 |
| 2-3 | 0.79% | 125.82 |
| 3-0 | 9.85% | 10.15 |
| 3-1 | 7.05% | 14.18 |
| 3-2 | 2.52% | 39.62 |
| 3-3 | 0.60% | 166.08 |
| Any Other Home Win | 19.38% | 5.16 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.45% | 224.03 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.07% | 1,529.47 |