Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Everton is likely to win this match with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 28.5%, while a draw has a probability of 25.01%. The most likely scoreline for a Everton win is 0-1, with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 9.3% and 0-2 with a probability of 7.93%. The most probable Burnley win is 1-0 with a probability of 7.55%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 11.85%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Burnley | Everton | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.17 | 1.57 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 28.50% | 25.01% | 46.36% |
| Imp Odds | 3.51 | 4.00 | 2.16 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.43% | 15.55 |
| 1.5 | 24.08% | 4.15 |
| 2.5 | 48.30% | 2.07 |
| 3.5 | 70.44% | 1.42 |
| 4.5 | 85.63% | 1.17 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 93.57% | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | 75.92% | 1.32 |
| 2.5 | 51.70% | 1.93 |
| 3.5 | 29.56% | 3.38 |
| 4.5 | 14.37% | 6.96 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 15.55 | 6.43% |
| 0-1 | 9.90 | 10.10% |
| 0-2 | 12.62 | 7.93% |
| 0-3 | 24.11 | 4.15% |
| 1-0 | 13.24 | 7.55% |
| 1-1 | 8.44 | 11.85% |
| 1-2 | 10.75 | 9.30% |
| 1-3 | 20.54 | 4.87% |
| 2-0 | 22.56 | 4.43% |
| 2-1 | 14.37 | 6.96% |
| 2-2 | 18.31 | 5.46% |
| 2-3 | 34.99 | 2.86% |
| 3-0 | 57.65 | 1.73% |
| 3-1 | 36.72 | 2.72% |
| 3-2 | 46.79 | 2.14% |
| 3-3 | 89.41 | 1.12% |
| Any Other Home Win | 33.79 | 2.96% |
| Any Other Away Win | 20.08 | 4.98% |
| Any Other Draw | 720.31 | 0.14% |