Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bologna is likely to win this match with a probability of 35.31%. A win for Atalanta has a probability of 32.32%, while a draw has a probability of 32.36%. The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win is 1-0, with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scoreline for that outcome is 2-0 with a probability of 7.13%. The most probable Atalanta win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 15.78%.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

By XG

By XG

## Full-time Result Based on XG

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Bologna | Atalanta | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

0.95 | 0.90 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 35.31% | 32.36% | 32.32% |

Imp Odds | 2.83 | 3.09 | 3.09 |

## Goals Over/Under Based on XG

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 15.78% | 6.34 |

1.5 | 44.91% | 2.23 |

2.5 | 71.81% | 1.39 |

3.5 | 88.37% | 1.13 |

4.5 | 96.01% | 1.04 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 84.22% | 1.19 |

1.5 | 55.09% | 1.82 |

2.5 | 28.19% | 3.55 |

3.5 | 11.63% | 8.60 |

4.5 | 3.99% | 25.08 |

## Correct Score Based on XG

Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |

0-0 | 6.34 | 15.78% |

0-1 | 7.08 | 14.13% |

0-2 | 15.80 | 6.33% |

0-3 | 52.90 | 1.89% |

1-0 | 6.67 | 15.00% |

1-1 | 7.44 | 13.44% |

1-2 | 16.61 | 6.02% |

1-3 | 55.63 | 1.80% |

2-0 | 14.02 | 7.13% |

2-1 | 15.65 | 6.39% |

2-2 | 34.94 | 2.86% |

2-3 | 117.02 | 0.85% |

3-0 | 44.24 | 2.26% |

3-1 | 49.39 | 2.02% |

3-2 | 110.26 | 0.91% |

3-3 | 369.21 | 0.27% |

Any Other Home Win | 62.74 | 1.59% |

Any Other Away Win | 125.78 | 0.80% |

Any Other Draw | 6,701.25 | 0.01% |