Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bologna is likely to win this match with a probability of 35.31%. A win for Atalanta has a probability of 32.32%, while a draw has a probability of 32.36%. The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win is 1-0, with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scoreline for that outcome is 2-0 with a probability of 7.13%. The most probable Atalanta win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 15.78%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Bologna | Atalanta | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
0.95 | 0.90 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 35.31% | 32.36% | 32.32% |
Imp Odds | 2.83 | 3.09 | 3.09 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 15.78% | 6.34 |
1.5 | 44.91% | 2.23 |
2.5 | 71.81% | 1.39 |
3.5 | 88.37% | 1.13 |
4.5 | 96.01% | 1.04 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 84.22% | 1.19 |
1.5 | 55.09% | 1.82 |
2.5 | 28.19% | 3.55 |
3.5 | 11.63% | 8.60 |
4.5 | 3.99% | 25.08 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 6.34 | 15.78% |
0-1 | 7.08 | 14.13% |
0-2 | 15.80 | 6.33% |
0-3 | 52.90 | 1.89% |
1-0 | 6.67 | 15.00% |
1-1 | 7.44 | 13.44% |
1-2 | 16.61 | 6.02% |
1-3 | 55.63 | 1.80% |
2-0 | 14.02 | 7.13% |
2-1 | 15.65 | 6.39% |
2-2 | 34.94 | 2.86% |
2-3 | 117.02 | 0.85% |
3-0 | 44.24 | 2.26% |
3-1 | 49.39 | 2.02% |
3-2 | 110.26 | 0.91% |
3-3 | 369.21 | 0.27% |
Any Other Home Win | 62.74 | 1.59% |
Any Other Away Win | 125.78 | 0.80% |
Any Other Draw | 6,701.25 | 0.01% |