Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win, with a probability of 63.01%. A win for Cagliari has a chance of 12% and a draw probability of 24.74%. The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 0-1 with a probability of 19.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 15.26% and 1-2 with a probability of 7.91%. The most probable Cagliari win is 1-0 with a probability of 6.43%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 12.4%.
This match is interesting for betting on the away team (Roma), as the average odds for a win offered by bookmakers are higher than what our model calculates, with odds at 1.59 compared to around 1.87.
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Cagliari vs. Roma Betting Tips By XG and Performance
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Cagliari | Roma | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.52 | 1.57 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 12.00% | 24.74% | 63.01% |
| Imp Odds | 8.34 | 4.04 | 1.59 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 12.40% | 8.06 |
| 1.5 | 38.29% | 2.61 |
| 2.5 | 65.31% | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 84.11% | 1.19 |
| 4.5 | 93.91% | 1.06 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 87.60% | 1.14 |
| 1.5 | 61.71% | 1.62 |
| 2.5 | 34.69% | 2.88 |
| 3.5 | 15.89% | 6.29 |
| 4.5 | 6.09% | 16.43 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 12.40% | 8.06 |
| 0-1 | 19.46% | 5.14 |
| 0-2 | 15.26% | 6.55 |
| 0-3 | 7.98% | 12.53 |
| 1-0 | 6.43% | 15.55 |
| 1-1 | 10.09% | 9.91 |
| 1-2 | 7.91% | 12.64 |
| 1-3 | 4.14% | 24.17 |
| 2-0 | 1.67% | 59.97 |
| 2-1 | 2.62% | 38.23 |
| 2-2 | 2.05% | 48.74 |
| 2-3 | 1.07% | 93.22 |
| 3-0 | 0.29% | 346.97 |
| 3-1 | 0.45% | 221.19 |
| 3-2 | 0.35% | 282.02 |
| 3-3 | 0.19% | 539.37 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.19% | 537.99 |
| Any Other Away Win | 3.00% | 33.29 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.01% | 10,268.41 |
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Cagliari | Roma | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.87 | 1.96 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 16.01% | 21.13% | 62.39% |
| Imp Odds | 6.25 | 4.73 | 1.60 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.85% | 17.09 |
| 1.5 | 22.46% | 4.45 |
| 2.5 | 46.03% | 2.17 |
| 3.5 | 68.33% | 1.46 |
| 4.5 | 84.16% | 1.19 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.15% | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | 77.54% | 1.29 |
| 2.5 | 53.97% | 1.85 |
| 3.5 | 31.67% | 3.16 |
| 4.5 | 15.84% | 6.31 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 17.09 | 5.85% |
| 0-1 | 8.70 | 11.49% |
| 0-2 | 8.86 | 11.29% |
| 0-3 | 13.53 | 7.39% |
| 1-0 | 19.55 | 5.12% |
| 1-1 | 9.95 | 10.05% |
| 1-2 | 10.13 | 9.87% |
| 1-3 | 15.48 | 6.46% |
| 2-0 | 44.72 | 2.24% |
| 2-1 | 22.77 | 4.39% |
| 2-2 | 23.18 | 4.31% |
| 2-3 | 35.40 | 2.82% |
| 3-0 | 153.45 | 0.65% |
| 3-1 | 78.12 | 1.28% |
| 3-2 | 79.54 | 1.26% |
| 3-3 | 121.48 | 0.82% |
| Any Other Home Win | 93.05 | 1.07% |
| Any Other Away Win | 12.77 | 7.83% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,055.72 | 0.09% |