Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win, with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Fiorentina has a chance of 27.02% and a draw probability of 19.72%. The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 19.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 8.37% and 3-1 with a probability of 6.51%. The most probable Fiorentina win is “Any Other Away Win” with a probability of 6.3%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.16%.
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Napoli vs. Fiorentina Betting Tips By XG and Performance
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Napoli | Fiorentina | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.33 | 1.65 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 53.14% | 19.72% | 27.02% |
| Imp Odds | 1.88 | 5.07 | 3.70 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.87% | 53.54 |
| 1.5 | 9.30% | 10.75 |
| 2.5 | 24.10% | 4.15 |
| 3.5 | 43.73% | 2.29 |
| 4.5 | 63.27% | 1.58 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.13% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 90.70% | 1.10 |
| 2.5 | 75.90% | 1.32 |
| 3.5 | 56.27% | 1.78 |
| 4.5 | 36.73% | 2.72 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 1.87% | 53.54 |
| 0-1 | 3.08% | 32.51 |
| 0-2 | 2.53% | 39.47 |
| 0-3 | 1.39% | 71.89 |
| 1-0 | 4.36% | 22.94 |
| 1-1 | 7.18% | 13.93 |
| 1-2 | 5.91% | 16.92 |
| 1-3 | 3.25% | 30.81 |
| 2-0 | 5.08% | 19.67 |
| 2-1 | 8.37% | 11.94 |
| 2-2 | 6.90% | 14.50 |
| 2-3 | 3.79% | 26.41 |
| 3-0 | 3.95% | 25.29 |
| 3-1 | 6.51% | 15.35 |
| 3-2 | 5.36% | 18.64 |
| 3-3 | 2.95% | 33.96 |
| Any Other Home Win | 19.49% | 5.13 |
| Any Other Away Win | 6.30% | 15.88 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.83% | 120.67 |
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Napoli | Fiorentina | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 4.21 | 0.51 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 91.60% | 4.14% | 1.43% |
| Imp Odds | 1.09 | 24.14 | 69.77 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 0.89% | 112.42 |
| 1.5 | 5.09% | 19.65 |
| 2.5 | 15.01% | 6.66 |
| 3.5 | 30.62% | 3.27 |
| 4.5 | 49.05% | 2.04 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 99.11% | 1.01 |
| 1.5 | 94.91% | 1.05 |
| 2.5 | 84.99% | 1.18 |
| 3.5 | 69.38% | 1.44 |
| 4.5 | 50.95% | 1.96 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 112.42 | 0.89% |
| 0-1 | 218.65 | 0.46% |
| 0-2 | 850.55 | 0.12% |
| 0-3 | 4,962.99 | 0.02% |
| 1-0 | 26.71 | 3.74% |
| 1-1 | 51.96 | 1.92% |
| 1-2 | 202.12 | 0.49% |
| 1-3 | 1,179.40 | 0.08% |
| 2-0 | 12.70 | 7.88% |
| 2-1 | 24.70 | 4.05% |
| 2-2 | 96.06 | 1.04% |
| 2-3 | 560.54 | 0.18% |
| 3-0 | 9.05 | 11.05% |
| 3-1 | 17.61 | 5.68% |
| 3-2 | 68.49 | 1.46% |
| 3-3 | 399.62 | 0.25% |
| Any Other Home Win | 1.73 | 57.75% |
| Any Other Away Win | 1,290.46 | 0.08% |
| Any Other Draw | 2,706.36 | 0.04% |