Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Empoli is likely to win this match with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 33.4%, while a draw has a probability of 26.22%. The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win is 1-0, with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 8.63% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.02%. The most probable Lecce win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.47%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Empoli | Lecce | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.38 | 1.23 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 40.50% | 26.22% | 33.24% |
| Imp Odds | 2.47 | 3.81 | 3.01 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 7.33% | 13.63 |
| 1.5 | 26.50% | 3.77 |
| 2.5 | 51.53% | 1.94 |
| 3.5 | 73.33% | 1.36 |
| 4.5 | 87.56% | 1.14 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 92.67% | 1.08 |
| 1.5 | 73.50% | 1.36 |
| 2.5 | 48.47% | 2.06 |
| 3.5 | 26.67% | 3.75 |
| 4.5 | 12.44% | 8.04 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 13.63 | 7.33% |
| 0-1 | 11.09 | 9.01% |
| 0-2 | 18.05 | 5.54% |
| 0-3 | 44.07 | 2.27% |
| 1-0 | 9.85 | 10.15% |
| 1-1 | 8.02 | 12.47% |
| 1-2 | 13.05 | 7.66% |
| 1-3 | 31.85 | 3.14% |
| 2-0 | 14.24 | 7.02% |
| 2-1 | 11.59 | 8.63% |
| 2-2 | 18.86 | 5.30% |
| 2-3 | 46.04 | 2.17% |
| 3-0 | 30.89 | 3.24% |
| 3-1 | 25.13 | 3.98% |
| 3-2 | 40.90 | 2.45% |
| 3-3 | 99.82 | 1.00% |
| Any Other Home Win | 19.84 | 5.04% |
| Any Other Away Win | 38.93 | 2.57% |
| Any Other Draw | 876.71 | 0.11% |