Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Frosinone is likely to win this match with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Genoa has a probability of 26.88%, while a draw has a probability of 31.48%. The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win is 1-0, with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 8.86% and 2-1 with a probability of 7.16%. The most probable Genoa win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 15.09%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Frosinone | Genoa | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.08 | 0.81 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 41.64% | 31.48% | 26.88% |
| Imp Odds | 2.40 | 3.18 | 3.72 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 15.09% | 6.63 |
| 1.5 | 43.63% | 2.29 |
| 2.5 | 70.61% | 1.42 |
| 3.5 | 87.62% | 1.14 |
| 4.5 | 95.66% | 1.05 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 84.91% | 1.18 |
| 1.5 | 56.37% | 1.77 |
| 2.5 | 29.39% | 3.40 |
| 3.5 | 12.38% | 8.08 |
| 4.5 | 4.34% | 23.06 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 6.63 | 15.09% |
| 0-1 | 8.21 | 12.18% |
| 0-2 | 20.33 | 4.92% |
| 0-3 | 75.56 | 1.32% |
| 1-0 | 6.11 | 16.35% |
| 1-1 | 7.57 | 13.20% |
| 1-2 | 18.76 | 5.33% |
| 1-3 | 69.72 | 1.43% |
| 2-0 | 11.28 | 8.86% |
| 2-1 | 13.98 | 7.16% |
| 2-2 | 34.62 | 2.89% |
| 2-3 | 128.66 | 0.78% |
| 3-0 | 31.23 | 3.20% |
| 3-1 | 38.69 | 2.58% |
| 3-2 | 95.84 | 1.04% |
| 3-3 | 356.13 | 0.28% |
| Any Other Home Win | 41.03 | 2.44% |
| Any Other Away Win | 166.80 | 0.60% |
| Any Other Draw | 6,286.72 | 0.02% |