Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bologna is likely to win this match with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Roma has a probability of 35.69%, while a draw has a probability of 26.19%. The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win is 1-0, with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 8.35% and 2-0 with a probability of 6.47%. The most probable Roma win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.45%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Bologna | Roma | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.34 | 1.29 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 38.07% | 26.19% | 35.69% |
| Imp Odds | 2.63 | 3.82 | 2.80 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 7.19% | 13.90 |
| 1.5 | 26.13% | 3.83 |
| 2.5 | 51.04% | 1.96 |
| 3.5 | 72.90% | 1.37 |
| 4.5 | 87.29% | 1.15 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 92.81% | 1.08 |
| 1.5 | 73.87% | 1.35 |
| 2.5 | 48.96% | 2.04 |
| 3.5 | 27.10% | 3.69 |
| 4.5 | 12.71% | 7.87 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 13.90 | 7.19% |
| 0-1 | 10.77 | 9.29% |
| 0-2 | 16.68 | 5.99% |
| 0-3 | 38.76 | 2.58% |
| 1-0 | 10.37 | 9.65% |
| 1-1 | 8.03 | 12.45% |
| 1-2 | 12.44 | 8.04% |
| 1-3 | 28.91 | 3.46% |
| 2-0 | 15.46 | 6.47% |
| 2-1 | 11.98 | 8.35% |
| 2-2 | 18.55 | 5.39% |
| 2-3 | 43.11 | 2.32% |
| 3-0 | 34.59 | 2.89% |
| 3-1 | 26.79 | 3.73% |
| 3-2 | 41.51 | 2.41% |
| 3-3 | 96.45 | 1.04% |
| Any Other Home Win | 21.89 | 4.57% |
| Any Other Away Win | 33.84 | 2.95% |
| Any Other Draw | 831.05 | 0.12% |