Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Milan is likely to win this match with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 23.61%, while a draw has a probability of 27.6%. The most likely scoreline for a Milan win is 1-0, with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 10.06% and 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The most probable Fiorentina win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.66%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By Goals
Full Time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| AC Milan | Fiorentina | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.38 | 0.87 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 48.79% | 27.60% | 23.61% |
| Imp Odds | 2.05 | 3.62 | 4.24 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 10.63% | 9.41 |
| 1.5 | 34.45% | 2.90 |
| 2.5 | 61.15% | 1.64 |
| 3.5 | 81.11% | 1.23 |
| 4.5 | 92.29% | 1.08 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 89.37% | 1.12 |
| 1.5 | 65.55% | 1.53 |
| 2.5 | 38.85% | 2.57 |
| 3.5 | 18.89% | 5.29 |
| 4.5 | 7.71% | 12.97 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 10.63% | 9.41 |
| 0-1 | 9.20% | 10.87 |
| 0-2 | 3.98% | 25.11 |
| 0-3 | 1.15% | 86.99 |
| 1-0 | 14.62% | 6.84 |
| 1-1 | 12.66% | 7.90 |
| 1-2 | 5.48% | 18.25 |
| 1-3 | 1.58% | 63.22 |
| 2-0 | 10.06% | 9.94 |
| 2-1 | 8.71% | 11.48 |
| 2-2 | 3.77% | 26.52 |
| 2-3 | 1.09% | 91.90 |
| 3-0 | 4.61% | 21.67 |
| 3-1 | 3.99% | 25.03 |
| 3-2 | 1.73% | 57.83 |
| 3-3 | 0.50% | 200.37 |
| Any Other Home Win | 5.06% | 19.78 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.83% | 120.20 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.04% | 2,564.82 |