Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Milan is likely to win this match with a probability of 62.11%. A win for Monza has a probability of 11.01%, while a draw has a probability of 26.88%. The most likely scoreline for a Milan win is 1-0, with a probability of 22.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 15.9% and 3-0 with a probability of 7.53%. The most probable Monza win is 0-1 with a probability of 6.73%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 15.76%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| AC Milan | Monza | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.42 | 0.43 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 62.11% | 26.88% | 11.01% |
| Imp Odds | 1.61 | 3.72 | 9.08 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 15.76% | 6.35 |
| 1.5 | 44.88% | 2.23 |
| 2.5 | 71.78% | 1.39 |
| 3.5 | 88.35% | 1.13 |
| 4.5 | 96.00% | 1.04 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 84.24% | 1.19 |
| 1.5 | 55.12% | 1.81 |
| 2.5 | 28.22% | 3.54 |
| 3.5 | 11.65% | 8.58 |
| 4.5 | 4.00% | 25.03 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 15.76% | 6.35 |
| 0-1 | 6.73% | 14.85 |
| 0-2 | 1.44% | 69.53 |
| 0-3 | 0.20% | 488.21 |
| 1-0 | 22.39% | 4.47 |
| 1-1 | 9.56% | 10.46 |
| 1-2 | 2.04% | 48.95 |
| 1-3 | 0.29% | 343.69 |
| 2-0 | 15.90% | 6.29 |
| 2-1 | 6.79% | 14.72 |
| 2-2 | 1.45% | 68.91 |
| 2-3 | 0.21% | 483.90 |
| 3-0 | 7.53% | 13.28 |
| 3-1 | 3.22% | 31.09 |
| 3-2 | 0.69% | 145.54 |
| 3-3 | 0.10% | 1,021.96 |
| Any Other Home Win | 5.60% | 17.86 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.07% | 1,432.76 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.00% | 26,293.83 |
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| AC Milan | Monza | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.84 | 1.03 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 56.18% | 22.74% | 21.06% |
| Imp Odds | 1.78 | 4.40 | 4.75 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.66% | 17.68 |
| 1.5 | 21.91% | 4.56 |
| 2.5 | 45.24% | 2.21 |
| 3.5 | 67.58% | 1.48 |
| 4.5 | 83.63% | 1.20 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.34% | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | 78.09% | 1.28 |
| 2.5 | 54.76% | 1.83 |
| 3.5 | 32.42% | 3.08 |
| 4.5 | 16.37% | 6.11 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 17.68 | 5.66% |
| 0-1 | 17.09 | 5.85% |
| 0-2 | 33.04 | 3.03% |
| 0-3 | 95.84 | 1.04% |
| 1-0 | 9.62 | 10.40% |
| 1-1 | 9.30 | 10.75% |
| 1-2 | 17.98 | 5.56% |
| 1-3 | 52.15 | 1.92% |
| 2-0 | 10.47 | 9.55% |
| 2-1 | 10.12 | 9.88% |
| 2-2 | 19.57 | 5.11% |
| 2-3 | 56.75 | 1.76% |
| 3-0 | 17.08 | 5.85% |
| 3-1 | 16.52 | 6.05% |
| 3-2 | 31.94 | 3.13% |
| 3-3 | 92.63 | 1.08% |
| Any Other Home Win | 8.85 | 11.30% |
| Any Other Away Win | 63.68 | 1.57% |
| Any Other Draw | 721.74 | 0.14% |