Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Fiorentina is likely to win this match with a probability of 67.62%. A win for Verona has a probability of 11.07%, while a draw has a probability of 21.3%. The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 1-0, with a probability of 16.34. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 15.01% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 11.43%. The most probable Verona win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.19%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.52%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Fiorentina | Verona | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.84 | 0.58 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 67.62% | 21.30% | 11.07% |
| Imp Odds | 1.48 | 4.70 | 9.03 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.90% | 11.24 |
| 1.5 | 30.43% | 3.29 |
| 2.5 | 56.47% | 1.77 |
| 3.5 | 77.47% | 1.29 |
| 4.5 | 90.17% | 1.11 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.10% | 1.10 |
| 1.5 | 69.57% | 1.44 |
| 2.5 | 43.53% | 2.30 |
| 3.5 | 22.53% | 4.44 |
| 4.5 | 9.83% | 10.18 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 11.24 | 8.90% |
| 0-1 | 19.28 | 5.19% |
| 0-2 | 66.19 | 1.51% |
| 0-3 | 340.81 | 0.29% |
| 1-0 | 6.12 | 16.34% |
| 1-1 | 10.50 | 9.52% |
| 1-2 | 36.04 | 2.77% |
| 1-3 | 185.58 | 0.54% |
| 2-0 | 6.66 | 15.01% |
| 2-1 | 11.44 | 8.74% |
| 2-2 | 39.25 | 2.55% |
| 2-3 | 202.11 | 0.49% |
| 3-0 | 10.88 | 9.19% |
| 3-1 | 18.68 | 5.35% |
| 3-2 | 64.13 | 1.56% |
| 3-3 | 330.17 | 0.30% |
| Any Other Home Win | 8.75 | 11.43% |
| Any Other Away Win | 449.51 | 0.22% |
| Any Other Draw | 4,728.65 | 0.02% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Fiorentina | Verona | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.80 | 0.75 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 62.37% | 22.53% | 15.09% |
| Imp Odds | 1.60 | 4.44 | 6.63 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 7.86% | 12.72 |
| 1.5 | 27.86% | 3.59 |
| 2.5 | 53.28% | 1.88 |
| 3.5 | 74.83% | 1.34 |
| 4.5 | 88.54% | 1.13 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 92.14% | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | 72.14% | 1.39 |
| 2.5 | 46.72% | 2.14 |
| 3.5 | 25.17% | 3.97 |
| 4.5 | 11.46% | 8.72 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 7.86% | 12.72 |
| 0-1 | 5.88% | 17.01 |
| 0-2 | 2.20% | 45.50 |
| 0-3 | 0.55% | 182.58 |
| 1-0 | 14.12% | 7.08 |
| 1-1 | 10.55% | 9.47 |
| 1-2 | 3.95% | 25.34 |
| 1-3 | 0.98% | 101.70 |
| 2-0 | 12.67% | 7.89 |
| 2-1 | 9.47% | 10.55 |
| 2-2 | 3.54% | 28.23 |
| 2-3 | 0.88% | 113.29 |
| 3-0 | 7.58% | 13.19 |
| 3-1 | 5.67% | 17.64 |
| 3-2 | 2.12% | 47.18 |
| 3-3 | 0.53% | 189.30 |
| Any Other Home Win | 10.73% | 9.32 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.53% | 188.09 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.05% | 2,137.24 |