Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Monza will likely win this match with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Sassuolo has a probability of 31.20%, while a draw has a probability of 24.6%. The most likely scoreline for a Monza win is 2-1, with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 with a probability of 8.92% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 7.4%. The most probable Sassuolo win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.46%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 11.53%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Monza | Sassuolo | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.58 | 1.29 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 44.16% | 24.60% | 31.20% |
Imp Odds | 2.26 | 4.06 | 3.21 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 5.63% | 17.76 |
1.5 | 21.83% | 4.58 |
2.5 | 45.14% | 2.22 |
3.5 | 67.48% | 1.48 |
4.5 | 83.55% | 1.20 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 94.37% | 1.06 |
1.5 | 78.17% | 1.28 |
2.5 | 54.86% | 1.82 |
3.5 | 32.52% | 3.08 |
4.5 | 16.45% | 6.08 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 5.63% | 17.76 |
0-1 | 7.29% | 13.73 |
0-2 | 4.71% | 21.22 |
0-3 | 2.03% | 49.22 |
1-0 | 8.92% | 11.22 |
1-1 | 11.53% | 8.67 |
1-2 | 7.46% | 13.41 |
1-3 | 3.22% | 31.09 |
2-0 | 7.06% | 14.17 |
2-1 | 9.13% | 10.95 |
2-2 | 5.91% | 16.93 |
2-3 | 2.55% | 39.27 |
3-0 | 3.72% | 26.85 |
3-1 | 4.82% | 20.76 |
3-2 | 3.12% | 32.09 |
3-3 | 1.34% | 74.42 |
Any Other Home Win | 7.40% | 13.51 |
Any Other Away Win | 3.11% | 32.17 |
Any Other Draw | 0.19% | 534.99 |