Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Fiorentina is likely to win this match with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Torino has a probability of 25.92%, while a draw has a probability of 28.19%. The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 1-0, with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 9.32% and 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The most probable Torino win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.94%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Fiorentina | Torino | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.31 | 0.91 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 45.89% | 28.19% | 25.92% |
| Imp Odds | 2.18 | 3.55 | 3.86 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 10.82% | 9.24 |
| 1.5 | 34.89% | 2.87 |
| 2.5 | 61.64% | 1.62 |
| 3.5 | 81.47% | 1.23 |
| 4.5 | 92.49% | 1.08 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 89.18% | 1.12 |
| 1.5 | 65.11% | 1.54 |
| 2.5 | 38.36% | 2.61 |
| 3.5 | 18.53% | 5.40 |
| 4.5 | 7.51% | 13.32 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 9.24 | 10.82% |
| 0-1 | 10.14 | 9.86% |
| 0-2 | 22.26 | 4.49% |
| 0-3 | 73.31 | 1.36% |
| 1-0 | 7.04 | 14.20% |
| 1-1 | 7.73 | 12.94% |
| 1-2 | 16.96 | 5.90% |
| 1-3 | 55.85 | 1.79% |
| 2-0 | 10.73 | 9.32% |
| 2-1 | 11.78 | 8.49% |
| 2-2 | 25.85 | 3.87% |
| 2-3 | 85.12 | 1.17% |
| 3-0 | 24.52 | 4.08% |
| 3-1 | 26.92 | 3.72% |
| 3-2 | 59.09 | 1.69% |
| 3-3 | 194.56 | 0.51% |
| Any Other Home Win | 22.81 | 4.38% |
| Any Other Away Win | 103.04 | 0.97% |
| Any Other Draw | 2,480.63 | 0.04% |