Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win, with a probability of 57.26%. A win for Monza has a probability of 17.95%, and a draw has a probability of 24.78%. The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-0, with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 11.9% and 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The most probable Monza win is 0-1 with a probability of 7.12%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 11.49%.
By XG
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Roma | Monza | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.61 | 0.78 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 57.26% | 24.78% | 17.95% |
| Imp Odds | 1.75 | 4.04 | 5.57 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 9.14% | 10.94 |
| 1.5 | 31.00% | 3.23 |
| 2.5 | 57.16% | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 78.02% | 1.28 |
| 4.5 | 90.50% | 1.10 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 90.86% | 1.10 |
| 1.5 | 69.00% | 1.45 |
| 2.5 | 42.84% | 2.33 |
| 3.5 | 21.98% | 4.55 |
| 4.5 | 9.50% | 10.53 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 10.94 | 9.14% |
| 0-1 | 14.05 | 7.12% |
| 0-2 | 36.07 | 2.77% |
| 0-3 | 138.94 | 0.72% |
| 1-0 | 6.78 | 14.75% |
| 1-1 | 8.71 | 11.49% |
| 1-2 | 22.35 | 4.47% |
| 1-3 | 86.10 | 1.16% |
| 2-0 | 8.40 | 11.90% |
| 2-1 | 10.79 | 9.27% |
| 2-2 | 27.70 | 3.61% |
| 2-3 | 106.70 | 0.94% |
| 3-0 | 15.62 | 6.40% |
| 3-1 | 20.06 | 4.99% |
| 3-2 | 51.50 | 1.94% |
| 3-3 | 198.36 | 0.50% |
| Any Other Home Win | 12.47 | 8.02% |
| Any Other Away Win | 165.38 | 0.60% |
| Any Other Draw | 2,399.85 | 0.04% |
Other Information
| Total avg. home goal per game scored | 1.549441667 |
| Total avg. away goal per game scored | 1.091241667 |
| Avg. home team goal per game scored at home | 1.435 |
| Avg. away team goal per game conceded away | 1.7425 |
| Avg. away team goal per game scored away | 1.1525 |
| Avg. home team goal per game conceded at home | 0.7375 |