Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Napoli is likely to win this match with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Roma has a probability of 24%, while a draw has a probability of 30.69%. The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 0-1, with a probability of 17.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 9.89% and 1-2 with a probability of 7.51%. The most probable Roma win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 14.63%.
This match offers an excellent opportunity to bet on Napoli’s win, with bookmakers offering average odds of 2.7, much higher than the 2.21 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based on XG
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Correct Score Based on XG
Full-time Result
Goals Over/Under