Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Lazio is likely to win this match with a probability of 63.98%. A win for Salernitana has a probability of 14.01%, while a draw has a probability of 21.56%. The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 0-1, with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 12.9% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The most probable Salernitana win is 1-0 with a probability of 5.4%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.14%.
Below are tables with match analyses by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Salernitana | Lazio | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.74 | 1.88 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 14.01% | 21.56% | 63.98% |
| Imp Odds | 7.14 | 4.64 | 1.56 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 7.33% | 13.64 |
| 1.5 | 26.49% | 3.78 |
| 2.5 | 51.52% | 1.94 |
| 3.5 | 73.32% | 1.36 |
| 4.5 | 87.56% | 1.14 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 92.67% | 1.08 |
| 1.5 | 73.51% | 1.36 |
| 2.5 | 48.48% | 2.06 |
| 3.5 | 26.68% | 3.75 |
| 4.5 | 12.44% | 8.04 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 7.33% | 13.64 |
| 0-1 | 13.75% | 7.27 |
| 0-2 | 12.90% | 7.75 |
| 0-3 | 8.07% | 12.40 |
| 1-0 | 5.40% | 18.50 |
| 1-1 | 10.14% | 9.86 |
| 1-2 | 9.51% | 10.52 |
| 1-3 | 5.95% | 16.82 |
| 2-0 | 1.99% | 50.21 |
| 2-1 | 3.74% | 26.77 |
| 2-2 | 3.50% | 28.54 |
| 2-3 | 2.19% | 45.64 |
| 3-0 | 0.49% | 204.35 |
| 3-1 | 0.92% | 108.94 |
| 3-2 | 0.86% | 116.14 |
| 3-3 | 0.54% | 185.74 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.61% | 163.38 |
| Any Other Away Win | 6.26% | 15.99 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.05% | 2,032.40 |
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Salernitana | Lazio | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.73 | 1.70 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 15.64% | 23.61% | 60.45% |
| Imp Odds | 6.39 | 4.23 | 1.65 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.84% | 11.31 |
| 1.5 | 30.29% | 3.30 |
| 2.5 | 56.30% | 1.78 |
| 3.5 | 77.33% | 1.29 |
| 4.5 | 90.09% | 1.11 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.16% | 1.10 |
| 1.5 | 69.71% | 1.43 |
| 2.5 | 43.70% | 2.29 |
| 3.5 | 22.67% | 4.41 |
| 4.5 | 9.91% | 10.09 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 11.31 | 8.84% |
| 0-1 | 6.65 | 15.03% |
| 0-2 | 7.83 | 12.77% |
| 0-3 | 13.82 | 7.24% |
| 1-0 | 15.58 | 6.42% |
| 1-1 | 9.17 | 10.91% |
| 1-2 | 10.79 | 9.27% |
| 1-3 | 19.03 | 5.25% |
| 2-0 | 42.93 | 2.33% |
| 2-1 | 25.26 | 3.96% |
| 2-2 | 29.72 | 3.37% |
| 2-3 | 52.45 | 1.91% |
| 3-0 | 177.43 | 0.56% |
| 3-1 | 104.38 | 0.96% |
| 3-2 | 122.81 | 0.81% |
| 3-3 | 216.75 | 0.46% |
| Any Other Home Win | 167.41 | 0.60% |
| Any Other Away Win | 21.00 | 4.76% |
| Any Other Draw | 2,674.06 | 0.04% |