Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Juventus is likely to win this match with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Inter has a probability of 26.39%, while a draw has a probability of 32.04%. The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win is 1-0, with a probability of 16.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 8.93% and 2-1 with a probability of 6.94%. The most probable Inter win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 15.96%.
This match offers an excellent opportunity to bet on Juventus’s win, with bookmakers offering average odds of 3.4, much higher than the 2.41 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Juventus | Inter | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.06 | 0.78 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 41.57% | 32.04% | 26.39% |
Imp Odds | 2.41 | 3.12 | 3.79 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 15.96% | 6.27 |
1.5 | 45.25% | 2.21 |
2.5 | 72.12% | 1.39 |
3.5 | 88.56% | 1.13 |
4.5 | 96.10% | 1.04 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 84.04% | 1.19 |
1.5 | 54.75% | 1.83 |
2.5 | 27.88% | 3.59 |
3.5 | 11.44% | 8.74 |
4.5 | 3.90% | 25.64 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 6.27 | 15.96% |
0-1 | 8.06 | 12.40% |
0-2 | 20.75 | 4.82% |
0-3 | 80.11 | 1.25% |
1-0 | 5.92 | 16.89% |
1-1 | 7.62 | 13.12% |
1-2 | 19.61 | 5.10% |
1-3 | 75.72 | 1.32% |
2-0 | 11.20 | 8.93% |
2-1 | 14.41 | 6.94% |
2-2 | 37.08 | 2.70% |
2-3 | 143.14 | 0.70% |
3-0 | 31.75 | 3.15% |
3-1 | 40.85 | 2.45% |
3-2 | 105.14 | 0.95% |
3-3 | 405.91 | 0.25% |
Any Other Home Win | 44.26 | 2.26% |
Any Other Away Win | 192.01 | 0.52% |
Any Other Draw | 7,642.38 | 0.01% |