Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Verona is likely to win this match with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 33%, while a draw has a probability of 29.74%. The most likely scoreline for a Verona win is 1-0, with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scoreline for that outcome is 2-1 with a probability of 7.42%. The most probable Lecce win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 13.47%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Verona | Lecce | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.10 | 1.02 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 37.24% | 29.74% | 33.00% |
| Imp Odds | 2.69 | 3.36 | 3.03 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 11.99% | 8.34 |
| 1.5 | 37.43% | 2.67 |
| 2.5 | 64.40% | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 83.47% | 1.20 |
| 4.5 | 93.58% | 1.07 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 88.01% | 1.14 |
| 1.5 | 62.57% | 1.60 |
| 2.5 | 35.60% | 2.81 |
| 3.5 | 16.53% | 6.05 |
| 4.5 | 6.42% | 15.57 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 8.34 | 11.99% |
| 0-1 | 8.18 | 12.22% |
| 0-2 | 16.06 | 6.23% |
| 0-3 | 47.26 | 2.12% |
| 1-0 | 7.57 | 13.21% |
| 1-1 | 7.43 | 13.47% |
| 1-2 | 14.57 | 6.86% |
| 1-3 | 42.90 | 2.33% |
| 2-0 | 13.74 | 7.28% |
| 2-1 | 13.48 | 7.42% |
| 2-2 | 26.46 | 3.78% |
| 2-3 | 77.87 | 1.28% |
| 3-0 | 37.41 | 2.67% |
| 3-1 | 36.71 | 2.72% |
| 3-2 | 72.04 | 1.39% |
| 3-3 | 212.05 | 0.47% |
| Any Other Home Win | 39.31 | 2.54% |
| Any Other Away Win | 76.70 | 1.30% |
| Any Other Draw | 2,887.68 | 0.03% |