Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Real Sociedad is likely to win this match with a probability of 72.27%. A win for Alaves has a probability of 7.57%, while a draw has a probability of 20.15%. The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win is 1-0, with a probability of 19.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 17.74% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 11.53%. The most probable Alaves win is 0-1 with a probability of 4.35%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 10.47%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Real Sociedad | Alaves | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.84 | 0.42 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 72.27% | 20.15% | 7.57% |
Imp Odds | 1.38 | 4.96 | 13.22 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 10.47% | 9.56 |
1.5 | 34.09% | 2.93 |
2.5 | 60.74% | 1.65 |
3.5 | 80.80% | 1.24 |
4.5 | 92.12% | 1.09 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 89.53% | 1.12 |
1.5 | 65.91% | 1.52 |
2.5 | 39.26% | 2.55 |
3.5 | 19.20% | 5.21 |
4.5 | 7.88% | 12.69 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 10.47% | 9.56 |
0-1 | 4.35% | 22.99 |
0-2 | 0.90% | 110.61 |
0-3 | 0.13% | 798.33 |
1-0 | 19.27% | 5.19 |
1-1 | 8.01% | 12.48 |
1-2 | 1.66% | 60.07 |
1-3 | 0.23% | 433.54 |
2-0 | 17.74% | 5.64 |
2-1 | 7.38% | 13.56 |
2-2 | 1.53% | 65.24 |
2-3 | 0.21% | 470.87 |
3-0 | 10.89% | 9.18 |
3-1 | 4.53% | 22.09 |
3-2 | 0.94% | 106.29 |
3-3 | 0.13% | 767.12 |
Any Other Home Win | 11.53% | 8.68 |
Any Other Away Win | 0.07% | 1,527.34 |
Any Other Draw | 0.01% | 15,549.32 |