Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Lorient is likely to win this match with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Nantes has a probability of 25.1%, while a draw has a probability of 21.39%. The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.48% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.4%. The most probable Nantes win is 1-2 with a probability of 6.26%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.3%.
This match offers an enticing opportunity for betting on both teams to score for 1.86. The projected home team goals (Lorient) are 2.04 based on goal statistics, and 1.43 based on expected goals, or XG. The projected away goals (Nantes) are 1.35 based on goal statistics, and 1.57 based on expected goals or XG.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On Goals
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lorient | Nantes | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.04 | 1.35 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 53.46% | 21.39% | 25.10% |
| Imp Odds | 1.87 | 4.68 | 3.98 |
Goals Over/Under Based On Goals
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.39% | 29.49 |
| 1.5 | 14.87% | 6.73 |
| 2.5 | 34.28% | 2.92 |
| 3.5 | 56.18% | 1.78 |
| 4.5 | 74.71% | 1.34 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.61% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 85.13% | 1.17 |
| 2.5 | 65.72% | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 43.82% | 2.28 |
| 4.5 | 25.29% | 3.95 |
Correct Score Based On Goals
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 3.39% | 29.49 |
| 0-1 | 4.56% | 21.92 |
| 0-2 | 3.07% | 32.57 |
| 0-3 | 1.38% | 72.62 |
| 1-0 | 6.91% | 14.47 |
| 1-1 | 9.30% | 10.75 |
| 1-2 | 6.26% | 15.98 |
| 1-3 | 2.81% | 35.62 |
| 2-0 | 7.04% | 14.20 |
| 2-1 | 9.48% | 10.55 |
| 2-2 | 6.38% | 15.68 |
| 2-3 | 2.86% | 34.95 |
| 3-0 | 4.79% | 20.89 |
| 3-1 | 6.44% | 15.52 |
| 3-2 | 4.33% | 23.07 |
| 3-3 | 1.94% | 51.44 |
| Any Other Home Win | 14.46% | 6.91 |
| Any Other Away Wins | 3.56% | 28.05 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.37% | 268.22 |
Projected Goals
| Projected Home Goals | 2.038450301 |
| Projected Away Goals | 1.345689588 |
| Projected Total Goals | 3.384139889 |
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lorient | Nantes | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.43 | 1.57 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 34.78% | 24.28% | 40.83% |
| Imp Odds | 2.87 | 4.12 | 2.45 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.02% | 19.90 |
| 1.5 | 20.05% | 4.99 |
| 2.5 | 42.52% | 2.35 |
| 3.5 | 64.93% | 1.54 |
| 4.5 | 81.68% | 1.22 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.98% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 79.95% | 1.25 |
| 2.5 | 57.48% | 1.74 |
| 3.5 | 35.07% | 2.85 |
| 4.5 | 18.32% | 5.46 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 19.90 | 5.02% |
| 0-1 | 12.72 | 7.86% |
| 0-2 | 16.25 | 6.16% |
| 0-3 | 31.13 | 3.21% |
| 1-0 | 13.96 | 7.16% |
| 1-1 | 8.92 | 11.21% |
| 1-2 | 11.40 | 8.77% |
| 1-3 | 21.84 | 4.58% |
| 2-0 | 19.59 | 5.10% |
| 2-1 | 12.51 | 7.99% |
| 2-2 | 15.99 | 6.25% |
| 2-3 | 30.64 | 3.26% |
| 3-0 | 41.22 | 2.43% |
| 3-1 | 26.33 | 3.80% |
| 3-2 | 33.65 | 2.97% |
| 3-3 | 64.48 | 1.55% |
| Any Other Home Win | 18.76 | 5.33% |
| Any Other Away Win | 18.85 | 5.30% |
| Any Other Draw | 422.19 | 0.24% |
Projected Goals
| Projected Home Goals | 1.425569517 |
| Projected Away Goals | 1.565384615 |
| Projected Total Goals | 2.990954132 |
Find your next winning bet: Our expert predictions for upcoming Ligue 1 matches.