Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Lyon is likely to win this match with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Nantes has a probability of 27.91%, while a draw has a probability of 19.04%. The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 21.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 7.67% and 3-1 with a probability of 6.33%. The most probable Nantes win is “Any Other Away Win” with a probability of 7.92%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 2-2 with a probability of 6.9%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Lyon | Nantes | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
2.48 | 1.80 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 52.87% | 19.04% | 27.91% |
Imp Odds | 1.89 | 5.25 | 3.58 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 1.39% | 72.05 |
1.5 | 7.32% | 13.65 |
2.5 | 20.02% | 4.99 |
3.5 | 38.12% | 2.62 |
4.5 | 57.48% | 1.74 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 98.61% | 1.01 |
1.5 | 92.68% | 1.08 |
2.5 | 79.98% | 1.25 |
3.5 | 61.88% | 1.62 |
4.5 | 42.52% | 2.35 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 72.05 | 1.39% |
0-1 | 40.03 | 2.50% |
0-2 | 44.48 | 2.25% |
0-3 | 74.14 | 1.35% |
1-0 | 29.08 | 3.44% |
1-1 | 16.16 | 6.19% |
1-2 | 17.95 | 5.57% |
1-3 | 29.93 | 3.34% |
2-0 | 23.48 | 4.26% |
2-1 | 13.04 | 7.67% |
2-2 | 14.49 | 6.90% |
2-3 | 24.16 | 4.14% |
3-0 | 28.43 | 3.52% |
3-1 | 15.79 | 6.33% |
3-2 | 17.55 | 5.70% |
3-3 | 29.25 | 3.42% |
Any Other Home Win | 4.55 | 21.95% |
Any Other Away Win | 12.63 | 7.92% |
Any Other Draw | 87.28 | 1.15% |